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Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Temporal networks, i.e., networks in which the interactions among a set of elementary units change over time, can be modelled in terms of time-varying graphs, which are time-ordered sequences of graphs over a set of nodes. In such graphs,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-04 Vincenzo Nicosia , John Tang , Cecilia Mascolo , Mirco Musolesi , Giovanni Russo , Vito Latora

We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-12 Yongqing Wang , Shenghua Liu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

Graphs are important data representations for describing objects and their relationships, which appear in a wide diversity of real-world scenarios. As one of a critical problem in this area, graph generation considers learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Xiaojie Guo , Liang Zhao

We propose a latent self-exciting point process model that describes geographically distributed interactions between pairs of entities. In contrast to most existing approaches that assume fully observable interactions, here we consider a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-02 Yoon-Sik Cho , Aram Galstyan , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , George Tita

Many different classification tasks need to manage structured data, which are usually modeled as graphs. Moreover, these graphs can be dynamic, meaning that the vertices/edges of each graph may change during time. Our goal is to jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Franco Manessi , Alessandro Rozza , Mario Manzo

In a previous paper [Pearl and Verma, 1991] we presented an algorithm for extracting causal influences from independence information, where a causal influence was defined as the existence of a directed arc in all minimal causal models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-26 Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Motivated by extreme value theory, max-linear Bayesian networks have been recently introduced and studied as an alternative to linear structural equation models. However, for max-linear systems the classical independence results for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Carlos Améndola , Claudia Klüppelberg , Steffen Lauritzen , Ngoc Tran

Quantum graphity is a background independent model for emergent locality, spatial geometry and matter. The states of the system correspond to dynamical graphs on N vertices. At high energy, the graph describing the system is highly…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Tomasz Konopka , Fotini Markopoulou , Simone Severini

Generative models for graphs have been typically committed to strong prior assumptions concerning the form of the modeled distributions. Moreover, the vast majority of currently available models are either only suitable for characterizing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Antonino Freno , Mikaela Keller , Gemma C. Garriga , Marc Tommasi

In this work, we introduce a novel evaluation framework for generative models of graphs, emphasizing the importance of model-generated graph overlap (Chanpuriya et al., 2021) to ensure both accuracy and edge-diversity. We delineate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Sudhanshu Chanpuriya , Cameron Musco , Konstantinos Sotiropoulos , Charalampos Tsourakakis

Built upon the shoulders of graph theory, the field of complex networks has become a central tool for studying real systems across various fields of research. Represented as graphs, different systems can be studied using the same analysis…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-30 Gorka Zamora-López , Matthieu Gilson

Sequences of correlated binary patterns can represent many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Jimmy Gaudreault , Arunabh Saxena , Hideaki Shimazaki

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

We study a class of graphs that represent local independence structures in stochastic processes allowing for correlated error processes. Several graphs may encode the same local independencies and we characterize such equivalence classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Niels Richard Hansen

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) are potential probabilistic graphical models for systems comprising a large number of variables. Like Bayesian networks, the structure of a dependency network is represented by a directed graph,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

Estimation of the conditional independence graph (CIG) of high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian time series from multi-attribute data is considered. Existing methods for graph estimation for such data are based on single-attribute models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Jitendra K. Tugnait