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Graphical modeling of stochastic processes driven by correlated errors

Statistics Theory 2022-09-01 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We study a class of graphs that represent local independence structures in stochastic processes allowing for correlated error processes. Several graphs may encode the same local independencies and we characterize such equivalence classes of graphs. In the worst case, the number of conditions in our characterizations grows superpolynomially as a function of the size of the node set in the graph. We show that deciding Markov equivalence is coNP-complete which suggests that our characterizations cannot be improved upon substantially. We prove a global Markov property in the case of a multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process which is driven by correlated Brownian motions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2005.07568,
  title  = {Graphical modeling of stochastic processes driven by correlated errors},
  author = {Søren Wengel Mogensen and Niels Richard Hansen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.07568},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

43 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-23T15:34:28.057Z