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We consider the optimal stopping problem for a Gauss-Markov process conditioned to adopt a prescribed terminal distribution. By applying a time-space transformation, we show it is equivalent to stopping a Brownian bridge pinned at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria

We establish a variety of properties of the discrete time simple random walk on a Galton-Watson tree conditioned to survive when the offspring distribution, $Z$ say, is in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon , Takashi Kumagai

Analytical work probability distributions for open classical systems are scarce; they can only be calculated in a few examples. In this work, I present a new method to derive such quantities for weakly driven processes in the overdamped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Pierre Nazé

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

In 1996, Bertoin and Werner [5] demonstrated a functional limit theorem, characterising the windings of pla- nar isotropic stable processes around the origin for large times, thereby complementing known results for planar Brownian mo- tion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-01 A. E. Kyprianou , S. Vakeroudis

We introduce and study a model of plane random trees generalizing the famous Bienaym\'e--Galton--Watson model but where births and deaths are locally correlated. More precisely, given a random variable $(B,H)$ with values in $\{1,2,3,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Ariane Carrance , Jérôme Casse , Nicolas Curien

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

For a subcritical Galton-Watson process $(\zeta_n)$, it is well known that under an $X \log X$ condition, the quotient $P(\zeta_n > 0)/ E\zeta_n$ has a finite positive limit. There is an analogous result for a (one-dimensional)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin , Alain Rouault

This paper studies some analytical properties of weak solutions of 3D stochastic primitive equations with periodic boundary conditions. The martingale problem associated to this model is shown to have a family of solutions satisfying the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Zhao Dong , Rangrang Zhang

Recent progress in the study of the contact process [2] has verified that the extinction-survival threshold $\lambda_1$ on a Galton-Watson tree is strictly positive if and only if the offspring distribution $\xi$ has an exponential tail. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We consider the behaviour of minimax recursions defined on random trees. Such recursions give the value of a general class of two-player combinatorial games. We examine in particular the case where the tree is given by a Galton-Watson…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 James B. Martin , Roman Stasiński

We establish via a probabilistic approach the quenched invariance principle for a class of long range random walks in independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) balanced random environments, with the transition probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Xin Chen , Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

Consider a family of random ordered graph trees $(T_n)_{n\geq 1}$, where $T_n$ has $n$ vertices. It has previously been established that if the associated search-depth processes converge to the normalised Brownian excursion when rescaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-24 David A. Croydon

We derive a complete left-tail asymptotic series for the density of the {\it martingale limit} of a supercritical multitype Galton-Watson process in the Schr\"oder case. We show that the series converges everywhere, not only for small…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Anton A. Kutsenko

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

We consider branching random walks built on Galton--Watson trees with offspring distribution having a bounded support, conditioned to have $n$ nodes, and their rescaled convergences to the Brownian snake. We exhibit a notion of ``globally…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-28 Jean-François Marckert

We prove that critical multitype Galton-Watson trees converge after rescaling to the Brownian continuum random tree, under the hypothesis that the offspring distribution has finite covariance matrices. Our study relies on an ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Grégory Marc Miermont

In this paper we study the genealogical structure of a Galton-Watson process with neutral mutations, where the initial population is large and mutation rate is small \cite{B2}. Namely, we extend in two directions the results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Airam Blancas Benítez , Víctor Rivero

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}$ in a varying environment. Let $\{W_n\}$ be the natural martingale $Z_n/{\bf E}Z_n$. It converges to some random variable $W$ as $n\to\infty$. An important problem is to show that ${\bf P}(W>0)$ equals…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Y. Kirpicheva , A. Shklyaev
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