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Mean Field Game (MFG) models implicitly assume "rational expectations", meaning that the heterogeneous agents being modeled correctly know all relevant transition probabilities for the complex system they inhabit. When there is common…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Benjamin Moll , Lenya Ryzhik

Designing incentives for an adapting population is a ubiquitous problem in a wide array of economic applications and beyond. In this work, we study how to design additional rewards to steer multi-agent systems towards desired policies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jiawei Huang , Vinzenz Thoma , Zebang Shen , Heinrich H. Nax , Niao He

Real-world decision-making systems operate in environments where state transitions depend not only on the agent's actions, but also on \textbf{exogenous factors outside its control}--competing agents, environmental disturbances, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Sourav Ganguly , Kartik Pandit , Arnob Ghosh

Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

We focus on how individual behavior that complies with social norms interferes with performance-based incentive mechanisms in organizations with multiple distributed decision-making agents. We model social norms to emerge from interactions…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-25 Ravshanbek Khodzhimatov , Stephan Leitner , Friederike Wall

Strategic classification studies the problem where self-interested individuals or agents manipulate their response to obtain favorable decision outcomes made by classifiers, typically turning to dishonest actions when they are less costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Ziyuan Huang , Lina Alkarmi , Mingyan Liu

This paper proposes a framework in which agents are constrained to use simple models to forecast economic variables and characterizes the resulting biases. It considers agents who can only entertain state-space models with no more than d…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Pooya Molavi

An ambitious goal for machine learning is to create agents that behave ethically: The capacity to abide by human moral norms would greatly expand the context in which autonomous agents could be practically and safely deployed, e.g. fully…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Adrien Ecoffet , Joel Lehman

An agent choosing between various actions tends to take the one with the lowest cost. But this choice is arguably too rigid (not adaptive) to be useful in complex situations, e.g., where exploration-exploitation trade-off is relevant in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-04 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan , Ali E. Abbas , Zbigniew R. Struzik

In this work an opinion formation model with heterogeneous agents is proposed. Each agent is supposed to have different power of persuasion, and besides its own level of zealotry, that is, an individual willingness to being convinced by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Mayte Pérez-Llanos , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Analía Silva

Different agents need to make a prediction. They observe identical data, but have different models: they predict using different explanatory variables. We study which agent believes they have the best predictive ability -- as measured by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-01 Jose Luis Montiel Olea , Pietro Ortoleva , Mallesh M Pai , Andrea Prat

We develop a novel framework of bounded rationality under cognitive frictions that studies learning over optimal behavior through both deliberative reasoning and accumulated experiences. Using both types of information, agents engage in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Cosmin Ilut , Rosen Valchev

We investigate how the choice of decision makers can be varied under the presence of risk and uncertainty. Our analysis is based on the approach we have previously applied to individual decision makers, which we now generalize to the case…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-03 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

Agents can achieve effective interaction with previously unknown other agents by maintaining beliefs over a set of hypothetical behaviours, or types, that these agents may have. A current limitation in this method is that it does not…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Stefano V. Albrecht , Peter Stone

Intrinsic motivations are receiving increasing attention, i.e. behavioral incentives that are not engineered, but emerge from the interaction of an agent with its surroundings. In this work we study the emergence of behaviors driven by one…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Tristan Shah , Ilya Nemenman , Daniel Polani , Stas Tiomkin

When a new product or technology is introduced, potential consumers can learn its quality by trying the product, at a risk, or by letting others try it and free-riding on the information that they generate. We propose a dynamic game to…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-27 Matt V. Leduc , Matthew O. Jackson , Ramesh Johari

The formation of agents' opinions in a social system is the result of an intricate equilibrium among several driving forces. On the one hand, the social pressure exerted by peers favours the emergence of local consensus. On the other hand,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-18 Federico Battiston , Andrea Cairoli , Vincenzo Nicosia , Adrian Baule , Vito Latora

An ethical value-action gap exists when there is a discrepancy between intentions and actions. This discrepancy may be caused by social and structural obstacles as well as cognitive biases. Computational models of cognition and affect can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Catriona M. Kennedy

The reinforcement learning research area contains a wide range of methods for solving the problems of intelligent agent control. Despite the progress that has been made, the task of creating a highly autonomous agent is still a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Artem Latyshev , Aleksandr I. Panov

Reinforcement learning usually assumes a given or sometimes even fixed environment in which an agent seeks an optimal policy to maximize its long-term discounted reward. In contrast, we consider agents that are not limited to passive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Ziqing Lu , Babak Hassibi , Lifeng Lai , Weiyu Xu