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Modeling the evolution of a financial index as a stochastic process is a problem awaiting a full, satisfactory solution since it was first formulated by Bachelier in 1900. Here it is shown that the scaling with time of the return…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

We consider a discrete latent variable model for two-way data arrays, which allows one to simultaneously produce clusters along one of the data dimensions (e.g. exchangeable observational units or features) and contiguous groups, or…

Latent class models are widely used for identifying unobserved subgroups from multivariate categorical data in social sciences, with binary data as a particularly popular example. However, accurately recovering individual latent class…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Yuqi Gu

Over the last two decades, the Latent Position Model (LPM) has become a prominent tool to obtain model-based visualizations of networks. However, the geometric structure of the LPM is inherently symmetric, in the sense that outgoing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chaoyi Lu , Riccardo Rastelli

Linear structural equation models postulate noisy linear relationships between variables of interest. Each model corresponds to a path diagram, which is a mixed graph with directed edges that encode the domains of the linear functions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Mathias Drton , Christopher Fox , Andreas Käufl , Guillaume Pouliot

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution generated by Lindley random variable which offers a more flexible model for modelling lifetime data. Various statistical properties like distribution function, survival function, moments,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-25 Deepesh Bhati , Mohd. Aamir Malik

In this paper we address the problem of modeling relational data, which appear in many applications such as social network analysis, recommender systems and bioinformatics. Previous studies either consider latent feature based models but…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Sheng Gao , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

We study the critical points of the likelihood function over the Fermat hypersurface. This problem is related to one of the main problems in statistical optimization: maximum likelihood estimation. The number of critical points over a…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-09 Daniele Agostini , Davide Alberelli , Francesco Grande , Paolo Lella

Latent structure methods, specifically linear continuous latent structure methods, are a type of fundamental statistical learning strategy. They are widely used for dimension reduction, regression and prediction, in the fields of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Clara Grazian , Qian Jin , Pierre Lafaye De Micheaux

We study probability density functions that are log-concave. Despite the space of all such densities being infinite-dimensional, the maximum likelihood estimate is the exponential of a piecewise linear function determined by finitely many…

This paper tries to tell the story of the general linear model, which saw the light of day 200 years ago, and the assumptions underlying it. We distinguish three principal stages (ignoring earlier more isolated instances). The model was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 E. L. Lehmann

Unsupervised learning aims at the discovery of hidden structure that drives the observations in the real world. It is essential for success in modern machine learning. Latent variable models are versatile in unsupervised learning and have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Furong Huang

The $\boldsymbol{\beta}$-model for random graphs is commonly used for representing pairwise interactions in a network with degree heterogeneity. Going beyond pairwise interactions, Stasi et al. (2014) introduced the hypergraph…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Sagnik Nandy , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

Community detection is one of the most important problems in network analysis. Among many algorithms proposed for this task, methods based on statistical inference are of particular interest: they are mathematically sound and were shown to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

In high-dimensional classification problems, a commonly used approach is to first project the high-dimensional features into a lower dimensional space, and base the classification on the resulting lower dimensional projections. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Xin Bing , Marten Wegkamp

While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

Full probability models are critical for the statistical modeling of complex networks, and yet there are few general, flexible and widely applicable generative methods. We propose a new family of probability models motivated by the idea of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-13 Ian E. Fellows

The main purpose of this paper is to present new families of test statistics for studying the problem of goodness-of-fit of some data to a latent class model for binary data. The families of test statistics introduced are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Ángel Felipe , Nirian Martín , Pedro Miranda , Leandro Pardo