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Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

Empirical networks are often globally sparse, with a small average number of connections per node, when compared to the total size of the network. However, this sparsity tends not to be homogeneous, and networks can also be locally dense,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-20 Tiago P. Peixoto

Link prediction is a fundamental task in statistical network analysis. Recent advances have been made on learning flexible nonparametric Bayesian latent feature models for link prediction. In this paper, we present a max-margin learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Jun Zhu , Jiaming Song , Bei Chen

This article considers the estimation of the number of severely disabled people using data from the Italian survey on Health Conditions and Appeal to Medicare. Disability is indirectly measured using a set of categorical items, which survey…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-25 Enrico Fabrizi , Giorgio E. Montanari , Maria Giovanna Ranalli

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya

In this paper we present a fully Bayesian latent variable model which exploits conditional nonlinear(in)-dependence structures to learn an efficient latent representation. The latent space is factorized to represent shared and private…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Andreas Damianou , Carl Ek , Michalis Titsias , Neil Lawrence

We present generalized additive latent and mixed models (GALAMMs) for analysis of clustered data with responses and latent variables depending smoothly on observed variables. A scalable maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is proposed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-29 Øystein Sørensen , Anders M. Fjell , Kristine B. Walhovd

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

We present a selective review on probabilistic modeling of heterogeneity in random graphs. We focus on latent space models and more particularly on stochastic block models and their extensions that have undergone major developments in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Catherine Matias , Stéphane Robin

The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and the likelihood ratio statistic in a family of problems involving pointwise nonparametric estimation of a monotone function is studied. This class of problems differs radically from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Moulinath Banerjee

Associated to each graph G is a Gaussian graphical model. Such models are often used in high-dimensional settings, i.e. where there are relatively few data points compared to the number of variables. The maximum likelihood threshold of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Hayden Outlaw

In this paper we provide a provably convergent algorithm for the multivariate Gaussian Maximum Likelihood version of the Behrens--Fisher Problem. Our work builds upon a formulation of the log-likelihood function proposed by Buot and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-06 Alexandre Belloni , Gustavo Didier

A probabilistic model for random hypergraphs is introduced to represent unary, binary and higher order interactions among objects in real-world problems. This model is an extension of the Latent Class Analysis model, which captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-16 Tin Lok James Ng , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Loss tomography has received considerable attention in recent years and a number of estimators have been proposed. Although most of the estimators claim to be the maximum likelihood estimators, the claim is only partially true since the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-07-21 Weiping Zhu

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

We present new stochastic geometry theorems that give bounds on the probability that $m$ random data classes all contain a point in common in their convex hulls. We apply these stochastic separation theorems to obtain bounds on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Jesús A. De Loera , Thomas A. Hogan

The Rasch model has been widely used to analyse item response data in psychometrics and educational assessments. When the number of individuals and items are large, it may be impractical to provide all possible responses. It is desirable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Pai Peng , Lianqiang Qu , Qiuping Wang , Shufang Wang , Ting Yan

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

Multivariate statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of inter-dependence. Driven by problems in genetics and the social sciences, it first flowered in the earlier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone
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