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We prove a general lemma for deriving contraction rates for linear inverse problems with non parametric nonconjugate priors. We then apply it to get contraction rates for both mildly and severely ill posed linear inverse problems with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Madhuresh

For the problem of high-dimensional sparse linear regression, it is known that an $\ell_0$-based estimator can achieve a $1/n$ "fast" rate on the prediction error without any conditions on the design matrix, whereas in absence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

Nonparametric Instrumental Variables (NPIV) analysis is based on a conditional moment restriction. We show that if this moment condition is even slightly misspecified, say because instruments are not quite valid, then NPIV estimates can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-13 Ben Deaner

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

This article develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and regularized empirical risk minimizers (RERM) in linear models in the presence of additive, potentially adversarial, errors. In particular, no conditions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

We establish optimal rates for online regression for arbitrary classes of regression functions in terms of the sequential entropy introduced in (Rakhlin, Sridharan, Tewari, 2010). The optimal rates are shown to exhibit a phase transition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-12 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We consider a statistical inverse learning problem, where we observe the image of a function $f$ through a linear operator $A$ at i.i.d. random design points $X_i$, superposed with an additive noise. The distribution of the design points is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-15 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Mücke

Inverse optimization involves inferring unknown parameters of an optimization problem from known solutions and is widely used in fields such as transportation, power systems, and healthcare. We study the contextual inverse optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Saurabh Mishra , Anant Raj , Sharan Vaswani

We consider the random design regression model with square loss. We propose a method that aggregates empirical minimizers (ERM) over appropriately chosen random subsets and reduces to ERM in the extreme case, and we establish sharp oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

In the nonparametric regression setting, we construct an estimator which is a continuous function interpolating the data points with high probability, while attaining minimax optimal rates under mean squared risk on the scale of H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Julien Chhor , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We study optimal procedures for estimating a linear functional based on observational data. In many problems of this kind, a widely used assumption is strict overlap, i.e., uniform boundedness of the importance ratio, which measures how…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Wenlong Mou , Peng Ding , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

With the emergence of precision medicine, estimating optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) has attracted tremendous attention in many scientific areas. Most existing literature has focused on finding optimal IDRs that can maximize…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Zhengling Qi , Jong-Shi Pang , Yufeng Liu

Given observations from a circular random variable contaminated by an additive measurement error, we consider the problem of minimax optimal goodness-of-fit testing in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose direct and indirect testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

This paper investigates the optimal ergodic sublinear convergence rate of the relaxed proximal point algorithm for solving monotone variational inequality problems. The exact worst case convergence rate is computed using the performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Guoyong Gu , Junfeng Yang

This paper considers the nonparametric regression model with an additive error that is dependent on the explanatory variables. As is common in empirical studies in epidemiology and economics, it also supposes that valid instrumental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Markus Grasmair , Otmar Scherzer , Anne Vanhems

We provide an overview of recent progress in statistical inverse problems with random experimental design, covering both linear and nonlinear inverse problems. Different regularization schemes have been studied to produce robust and stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Abhishake , Tapio Helin , Nicole Mücke

We investigate implicit regularization schemes for gradient descent methods applied to unpenalized least squares regression to solve the problem of reconstructing a sparse signal from an underdetermined system of linear measurements under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomas Vaškevičius , Varun Kanade , Patrick Rebeschini

Estimation problems with constrained parameter spaces arise in various settings. In many of these problems, the observations available to the statistician can be modelled as arising from the noisy realization of the image of a random linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Reese Pathak , Martin J. Wainwright , Lin Xiao