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Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

The recent technological advances in digitalization have revolutionized the industrial sector. Leveraging data analytics has now enabled the collection of deep insights into the performance and, as a result, the optimization of assets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Dinan Li , Panagiotis Kakosimos , Luca Peretti

In a coherent reliability system composed of multiple components configured according to a specific structure function, the distribution of system time to failure, or system lifetime, is often of primary interest. Accurate estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Beidi Qiang , Edsel Pena

Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dafang Zhao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Xiaolei Yuan , Ittetsu Taniguchi

We compare probabilistic predictions of extreme temperature anomalies issued by two different forecast schemes. One is a dynamical physical weather model, the other a simple data model. We recall the concept of skill scores in order to…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-17 Stefan Siegert , Jochen Broecker , Holger Kantz

The real-time supervision of production processes is a common challenge across several industries. It targets process component monitoring and its predictive maintenance in order to ensure safety, uninterrupted production and maintain high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Osimone Imhogiemhe , Yoann Jus , Hubert Lejeune , Saïd Moussaoui

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

Temperature forecasting and rain forecasting in today's environment is playing a major role in many fields like transportation, tour planning and agriculture. The purpose of this paper is to provide a real time forecasting to the user…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-12-11 Abhishek Kumar SIngh , Aditi Sharma , Rahul Mishra

When providing probabilistic forecasts for uncertain future events, it is common to strive for calibrated forecasts, that is, the predictive distribution should be compatible with the observed outcomes. Several notions of calibration are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-21 Christof Strähl , Johanna F. Ziegel

Nowadays, weather prediction is based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to produce an ensemble of forecasts. Despite of large improvements over the last few decades, they still tend to exhibit systematic bias and dispersion…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-02 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Probabilistic temperature forecasts are potentially useful to the energy and weather derivatives industries. However, at present, they are little used. There are a number of reasons for this, but we believe this is in part due to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson , Christine Ziehmann

Spread regression is an extension of linear regression that allows for the inclusion of a predictor that contains information about the variance. It can be used to take the information from a weather forecast ensemble and produce a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson

Predicting and characterizing phase transitions is crucial for understanding generic physical phenomena such as crystallization, protein folding and others. However, directly observing phase transitions is not always easy, and often one has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-20 Suemin Lee , Ruiyu Wang , Lukas Herron , Pratyush Tiwary

Empirical software engineering is concerned with the design and analysis of empirical studies that include software products, processes, and resources. Optimization is a form of data analytics in support of human decision-making.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Guenther Ruhe

Currently, the issue that concerns the world leaders most is climate change for its effect on agriculture, environment and economies of daily life. So, to combat this, temperature prediction with strong accuracy is vital. So far, the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Wasiou Jaharabi , MD Ibrahim Al Hossain , Rownak Tahmid , Md. Zuhayer Islam , T. M. Saad Rayhan

In this paper, electrothermal field phenomena in electronic components are considered. This coupling is tackled by multiphysical field simulations using the Finite Integration Technique (FIT). In particular, the design of bonding wires with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-10-17 Thorben Casper , Herbert De Gersem , Renaud Gillon , Tomas Gotthans , Tomas Kratochvil , Peter Meuris , Sebastian Schöps

Contract scheduling is a general technique that allows to design a system with interruptible capabilities, given an algorithm that is not necessarily interruptible. Previous work on this topic has largely assumed that the interruption is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Spyros Angelopoulos , Shahin Kamali

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Deep neural networks are often applied to medical images to automate the problem of medical diagnosis. However, a more clinically relevant question that practitioners usually face is how to predict the future trajectory of a disease.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Huy Hoang Nguyen , Matthew B. Blaschko , Simo Saarakkala , Aleksei Tiulpin

Electrosurgery is a surgical technique that can improve tissue cutting by reducing cutting force and bleeding. However, electrosurgery adds a risk of thermal injury to surrounding tissue. Expert surgeons estimate desirable cutting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Naveed D. Riaziat , Joseph Chen , Axel Krieger , Jeremy D. Brown