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Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Thermodynamics relies on the possibility to describe systems composed of a large number of constituents in terms of few macroscopic variables. Its foundations are rooted into the paradigm of statistical mechanics, where thermal properties…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-04 Antonella De Pasquale , Davide Rossini , Rosario Fazio , Vittorio Giovannetti

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

This paper addresses the use of experimental data for calibrating a computer model and improving its predictions of the underlying physical system. A global statistical approach is proposed in which the bias between the computer model and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-27 François Bachoc , Guillaume Bois , Josselin Garnier , Jean-Marc Martinez

As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-26 Hossein Sangrody , Morteza Sarailoo , Ning Zhou , Nhu Tran , Mahdi Motalleb , Elham Foruzan

Performance prediction or forecasting sporting outcomes involves a great deal of insight into the particular area one is dealing with, and a considerable amount of intuition about the factors that bear on such outcomes and performances. The…

The work is devoted to a modern state, methods and tools of monitoring, assessment and prediction of the indicators showing physical condition of a person and his/her capabilities to perform work duties. The work contains an analysis of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-05-11 V. Ya. Vilisov , D. A. Dyatlova

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

Meteorological forecasting provides reliable prediction about the future weather within a given interval of time. Meteorological forecasting can be viewed as a form of hybrid diagnostic reasoning and can be mapped onto an integrated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Matteo Cristani , Francesco Domenichini , Claudio Tomazzoli , Luca Viganò , Margherita Zorzi

Seasonal forecasting is a crucial task when it comes to detecting the extreme heat and colds that occur due to climate change. Confidence in the predictions should be reliable since a small increase in the temperatures in a year has a big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Busra Asan , Abdullah Akgül , Alper Unal , Melih Kandemir , Gozde Unal

Transmission system operators (TSOs) in recent years have faced challenges in order to ensure maximum transmission capacity of the system to satisfy market needs, while maintaining operational safety and permissible impact on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Aleksandra Rashkovska , Mitja Jančič , Matjaž Depolli , Janko Kosmač , Gregor Kosec

Progress in automatic control of thermal processes and real-time estimation of heat penetration into live tissue has long been limited by the difficulty of obtaining high-fidelity thermodynamic models. Traditionally, in complex…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Hamza El-Kebir , Yongseok Lee , Joseph Bentsman

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

Because of increasing amounts of intermittent and distributed generators in power systems, many demand response programs have been developed to schedule flexible energy consumption. However, proper benchmarks for comparing these methods are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Koos van der Linden , Natalia Romero , Mathijs M. de Weerdt

The inter-temporal consumption flexibility of commercial buildings can be harnessed to improve the energy efficiency of buildings, or to provide ancillary service to the power grid. To do so, a predictive model of the building's thermal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-23 Qie Hu , Frauke Oldewurtel , Maximilian Balandat , Evangelos Vrettos , Datong Zhou , Claire J. Tomlin

The optimal design of power converters requires accurate knowledge of the dissipation elements of its system to achieve the desired performance and security requirements. Calorimetric methods have surpassed classical electrical methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-06 Jose Miguel Sanz-Alcaine , Eduardo Sebastian , Francisco Jose Perez-Cebolla , Asier Arruti , Carlos Bernal-Ruiz , Iosu Aizpuru

The past twenty years have seen a resurgence of interest in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, thanks to advances in the theory of stochastic processes and in their thermodynamic interpretation. Fluctuation theorems provide fundamental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-16 Robert Marsland , Jeremy England

We demonstrate that is it possible to simulate a system in thermal equilibrium even when the energy cannot be evaluated exactly, provided the error distribution is known. This leads to an effective optimisation strategy for problems where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Robin C. Ball , Thomas M. A. Fink , Neill E. Bowler
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