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Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

An understanding of the disease spreading phenomenon based on a mathematical model is extremely needed for the implication of the correct policy measures to contain the disease propagation. Here, we report a new model namely the Ising-SIR…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Dipak Patra

It has long been known that epidemics can travel along communication lines, such as roads. In the current COVID-19 epidemic, it has been observed that major roads have enhanced its propagation in Italy. We propose a new simple model of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Luca Rossi

This paper studies the spread dynamics of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and varying population size, which is formulated as a piecewise deterministic Markov process. A threshold dynamic determined by the basic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Dan Li , Shengqiang Liu , Jing'an Cui

In the standard SIR model, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\lambda$ independently across each edge. They also recover at rate $\gamma$. In this work we consider the SIR-$\omega$ model where the graph structure itself…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Wenze Chen , Yuewen Hou , Dong Yao

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is changing and impacting lives on a global scale. In this paper, we introduce a mean-field game model in controlling the propagation of epidemics on a spatial domain. The control variable,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Wonjun Lee , Siting Liu , Hamidou Tembine , Wuchen Li , Stanley Osher

We study the absorbing phase transition for the model of epidemic spreading, Susceptible- Infected- Refractory (SIR), on one dimensional small world networks. This model has been found to be in the universality class of the dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-05 M. Ali Saif , M. A. Shukri , F. H. Al-makhedhi

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) and SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) models on high-dimensional lattices with random edge weights, where a susceptible vertex is infected by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Xiaofeng Xue

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on small world network. We show the effects of all the parameters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

We study in this paper a compartmental SIR model for a population distributed in a bounded domain D of $\mathbb{R}^d$, d= 1, 2, or 3. We describe a spatial model for the spread of a disease on a grid of D. We prove two laws of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 M. N'zi , E. Pardoux , T. Yeo

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

We study the statistical properties of the SIR epidemics in heterogeneous networks, when an epidemic is defined as only those SIR propagations that reach or exceed a minimum size s_c. Using percolation theory to calculate the average…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 C. Lagorio , M. V. Migueles , L. A. Braunstein , E. López , P. A. Macri

We consider evoSIR, a variant of the SIR model, on Erd\H os-Renyi random graphs in which susceptibles with an infected neighbor break that connection at rate $\rho$ and rewire to a randomly chosen individual. We compute the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Yufeng Jiang , Remy Kassem , Grayson York , Matthew Junge , Rick Durrett

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

We study extended infection fronts advancing over a spatially uniform susceptible population by solving numerically a diffusive Kermack McKendrick SIR model with a dichotomous spatially random transmission rate, in two dimensions. We find a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-06-11 A. B. Kolton , K. Laneri

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain model of SIR disease dynamics with two levels of mixing. For this so-called stochastic households model, we provide two methods for inferring the model parameters---governing within-household…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 James N. Walker , Joshua V. Ross , Andrew J. Black

We present an analysis of six deterministic models for epidemic spreading. The evolution of the number of individuals of each class is given by ordinary differential equations of the first order in time, which are set up by using the laws…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We present a class of SEIR Markov chain models for infectious diseases observed over discrete time in a random human population living in a closed environment. The population changes over time through random births, deaths, and transitions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-30 Divine Wanduku , Chinmoy Rahul