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The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

We consider the random reversible Markov kernel K obtained by assigning i.i.d. nonnegative weights to the edges of the complete graph over n vertices and normalizing by the corresponding row sum. The weights are assumed to be in the domain…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafaï

Consider a Markov chain $(X_i)_{i\ge0}$ with invariant measure $\mu$ that admits the representation $X_{i+1}=\Phi(X_i,U_i)$, where $(U_i)_{i\ge0}$ are i.i.d. random variables and $\Phi$ is a measurable map. We introduce a tangent-decoupled…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Victor H. de la Peña

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Yue Chen , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

The inference of thermodynamic quantities from the description of an only partially accessible physical system is a central challenge in stochastic thermodynamics. A common approach is coarse-graining, which maps the dynamics of such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-19 Jann van der Meer , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

In this paper, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition ensuring the property of exponential dichotomy for periodic linear systems of generalized differential equations. This condition allow us to revisit a recent result of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Claudio A. Gallegos , Gonzalo Robledo

Rowmotion is a certain well-studied bijective operator on the distributive lattice $J(P)$ of order ideals of a finite poset $P$. We introduce the rowmotion Markov chain ${\bf M}_{J(P)}$ by assigning a probability $p_x$ to each $x\in P$ and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Colin Defant , Rupert Li , Evita Nestoridi

We obtain universal estimates on the convergence to equilibrium and the times of coupling for continuous time irreducible reversible finite-state Markov chains, both in the total variation and in the L^2 norms. The estimates in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Determining potential probability distributions with a given causal graph is vital for causality studies. To bypass the difficulty in characterizing latent variables in a Bayesian network, the nested Markov model provides an elegant…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Xingjian Zhang , Yuhao Wang , Elie Wolfe

It is well known that the distributions of hitting times in Markov chains are quite irregular, unless the limit as time tends to infinity is considered. We show that nevertheless for a typical finite irreducible Markov chain and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Yuri Bakhtin , Leonid Bunimovich

The cover time of a Markov chain on a finite state space is the expected time until all states are visited. We show that if the cover time of a discrete-time Markov chain with rational transitions probabilities is bounded, then it is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 John Sylvester

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

In a general setting we solve the following inverse problem: Given a positive operators $R$, acting on measurable functions on a fixed measure space $(X,\mathcal B_X)$, we construct an associated Markov chain. Specifically, starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , Izchak Lewkowicz

In [10], a `Markovian stick-breaking' process which generalizes the Dirichlet process $(\mu, \theta)$ with respect to a discrete base space ${\mathfrak X}$ was introduced. In particular, a sample from from the `Markovian stick-breaking'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-25 William Lippitt , Sunder Sethuraman

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina
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