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To unbiasedly estimate a causal effect on an outcome unconfoundedness is often assumed. If there is sufficient knowledge on the underlying causal structure then existing confounder selection criteria can be used to select subsets of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-20 Jenny Häggström

The Ladder of Causation describes three qualitatively different types of activities an agent may be interested in engaging in, namely, seeing (observational), doing (interventional), and imagining (counterfactual) (Pearl and Mackenzie,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Juan D Correa , Sanghack Lee , Elias Bareinboim

Recommender systems aim to recommend new items to users by learning user and item representations. In practice, these representations are highly entangled as they consist of information about multiple factors, including user's interests,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Paras Sheth , Ruocheng Guo , Lu Cheng , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk Candan

Confounding variables are a well known source of nuisance in biomedical studies. They present an even greater challenge when we combine them with black-box machine learning techniques that operate on raw data. This work presents two case…

Discrimination discovery from data is an important task aiming at identifying patterns of illegal and unethical discriminatory activities against protected-by-law groups, e.g., ethnic minorities. While any legally-valid proof of…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Francesco Bonchi , Sara Hajian , Bud Mishra , Daniele Ramazzotti

Data values in a dataset can be missing or anomalous due to mishandling or human error. Analysing data with missing values can create bias and affect the inferences. Several analysis methods, such as principle components analysis or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Sandeep Hans , Diptikalyan Saha , Aniya Aggarwal

In this discussion we consider why it is important to estimate causal effect parameters well even they are not identified, propose a partially identified approach for causal inference in the presence of colliders, point out an…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Here we present an Italian criminal case that shows how statistical methods can be used to extract information from a series of mixed DNA profiles. The case involves several different individuals and a set of different DNA traces. The case…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-30 Francesco Dotto , Julia Mortera , Laura Baldasarri , Vincenzo Pascali

We study identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment variable on a long-term outcome using data from an observational and an experimental domain. The observational data are subject to unobserved confounding. Furthermore,…

We consider a multiplicative deconvolution problem, in which the density $f$ or the survival function $S^X$ of a strictly positive random variable $X$ is estimated nonparametrically based on an i.i.d. sample from a noisy observation $Y =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Sergio Brenner Miguel , Jan Johannes , Maximilian Siebel

Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal conclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains confounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential effects.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Katherine A. Keith , David Jensen , Brendan O'Connor

Causal inference from observational data requires assumptions. These assumptions range from measuring confounders to identifying instruments. Traditionally, causal inference assumptions have focused on estimation of effects for a single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Rajesh Ranganath , Adler Perotte

We introduce a new clustering method for the classification of functional data sets by their probabilistic law, that is, a procedure that aims to assign data sets to the same cluster if and only if the data were generated with the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Antonio Galves , Fernando Najman , Marcela Svarc , Claudia D. Vargas

Mortality data are relevant to demography, public health, and actuarial science. Whilst clustering is increasingly used to explore patterns in such data, no study has reviewed its application to country-level all-cause mortality. This…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-05 Pedro Menezes de Araujo , Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

The social sciences have produced an impressive body of research on determinants of fertility outcomes, or whether and when people have children. However, the strength of these determinants and underlying theories are rarely evaluated on…

The US Census Bureau will deliberately corrupt data sets derived from the 2020 US Census, enhancing the privacy of respondents while potentially reducing the precision of economic analysis. To investigate whether this trade-off is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-13 Anish Agarwal , Rahul Singh

This research addresses the challenge of conducting interpretable causal inference between a binary treatment and its resulting outcome when not all confounders are known. Confounders are factors that have an influence on both the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Sohaib Kiani , Jared Barton , Jon Sushinsky , Lynda Heimbach , Bo Luo

As much as data science is playing a pivotal role everywhere, healthcare also finds it prominent application. Breast Cancer is the top rated type of cancer amongst women; which took away 627,000 lives alone. This high mortality rate due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Vivek Kumar , Brojo Kishore Mishra , Manuel Mazzara , Dang N. H. Thanh , Abhishek Verma

In the causal adjustment setting, variable selection techniques based on either the outcome or treatment allocation model can result in the omission of confounders or the inclusion of spurious variables in the propensity score. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David A. Stephens

A major challenge in data-driven decision-making is accurate policy evaluation-i.e., guaranteeing that a learned decision-making policy achieves the promised benefits. A popular strategy is model-based policy evaluation, which estimates a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani , Bryce McLaughlin