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We consider a market where many agents trade many different types of products with each other. We model development of collective modes in this market, and quantify these by fluctuations that scale with time with a Hurst exponent of about…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Raul Donangelo , Alex Hansen , Kim Sneppen , Sergio R. Souza

The cross correlation matrix between equities comprises multiple interactions between traders with varying strategies and time horizons. In this paper, we use the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform to calculate correlation matrices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-05 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

This paper derives the expressions of correlations between prices of two assets, returns of two assets, and price-return correlations of two assets that depend on statistical moments and correlations of the current values, past values, and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-18 Victor Olkhov

In this paper we describe three stochastic models based on a semi-Markov chains approach and its generalizations to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. The three models are: a simple semi-Markov chain model, an indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-16 G. D'Amico , F. Petroni , F. Prattico

S&P 500 index data sampled at one-minute intervals over the course of 11.5 years (January 1989- May 2000) is analyzed, and in particular the Hurst parameter over segments of stationarity (the time period over which the Hurst parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor , Ronnie Sircar

The explosion of data on animal behavior in more natural contexts highlights the fact that these behaviors exhibit correlations across many time scales. But there are major challenges in analyzing these data: records of behavior in single…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-23 William Bialek , Joshua W. Shaevitz

We investigate the dynamics of correlations present between pairs of industry indices of US stocks traded in US markets by studying correlation based networks and spectral properties of the correlation matrix. The study is performed by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Giuseppe Buccheri , Stefano Marmi , Rosario N. Mantegna

Multistable processes, that is, processes which are, at each "time", tangent to a stable process, but where the index of stability varies along the path, have been recently introduced as models for phenomena where the intensity of jumps is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We perform non-linear analysis on stock market indices using time-dependent extended Tsallis statistics. Specifically, we evaluate the q-triplet for particular time periods with the purpose of demonstrating the temporal dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-30 Ioannis P. Antoniades , Leonidas P. Karakatsanis , Evgenios G. Pavlos

In the present paper, we analyze the fractal structures in magnitude time series for a set of unprecedented sample extracted from the National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalog corresponding to 12 Circum-Pacific subduction zones…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-07-31 D. B. de Freitas , G. S. França , T. M. Scheerer , C. S. Vilar , R. Silva

We study, both analytically and numerically, an ARCH-like, multiscale model of volatility, which assumes that the volatility is governed by the observed past price changes on different time scales. With a power-law distribution of time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 L. Borland , J. -Ph. Bouchaud

The market efficiency hypothesis has been proposed to explain the behavior of time series of stock markets. The Black-Scholes model (B-S) for example, is based on the assumption that markets are efficient. As a consequence, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-20 Carlos Arturo Soto Campos , Leopoldo Sánchez Cantú , Zeus Hernández Veleros

We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , M. Forczek , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka , R. Rak

The fractal scaling properties of the heartbeat time series are studied in a controlled ergometric regime using the Hurst rescaled range R/S analysis. The long-time "memory effect" quantified by the value of the Hurst exponent $H>0.5$ is…

Medical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Martinis , A. Knežević , G. Krstačić , E. Vargović

We present a new framework for modeling the statistical behavior of both fully developed turbulence and short-term dynamics of financial markets based on the nonextensive thermostatistics proposed by Tsallis. We also show that intermittency…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 F. M. Ramos , C. Rodrigues Neto , R. R. Rosa

Financial markets provide an ideal frame for the study of crossing or first-passage time events of non-Gaussian correlated dynamics mainly because large data sets are available. Tick-by-tick data of six futures markets are herein considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Josep Perelló , Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Jaume Masoliver

The large variability of renewable power sources is a central challenge in the transition to a sustainable energy system. Electricity markets are central for the coordination of electric power generation. These markets rely evermore on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Chengyuan Han , Hannes Hilger , Eva Mix , Philipp C. Böttcher , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão

We investigate serial correlation, periodic, aperiodic and scaling behaviour of eigenmodes, i.e. daily price fluctuation time-series derived from eigenvectors, of correlation matrices of shares listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-13 Diane Wilcox , Tim Gebbie

Power spectrum densities for the number of tick quotes per minute (market activity) on three currency markets (USD/JPY, EUR/USD, and JPY/EUR) for periods from January 1999 to December 2000 are analyzed. We find some peaks on the power…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Aki-Hiro Sato
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