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We investigate the daily correlation present among market indices of stock exchanges located all over the world in the time period Jan 1996 - Jul 2009. We discover that the correlation among market indices presents both a fast and a slow…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-16 Dong-Ming Song , Michele Tumminello , Wei-Xing Zhou , Rosario N. Mantegna

This letter revisits the informational efficiency of the Bitcoin market. In particular we analyze the time-varying behavior of long memory of returns on Bitcoin and volatility 2011 until 2017, using the Hurst exponent. Our results are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-26 Aurelio F. Bariviera

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We empirically analyze the reversion of financial market trends with time horizons ranging from minutes to decades. The analysis covers equities, interest rates, currencies and commodities and combines 14 years of futures tick data, 30…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-02 Sara A. Safari , Christof Schmidhuber

In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties and cyclical behavior of the three types of stock market indexes (SMI) time series: data belonging to stock markets of developed economies, emerging economies, and of the underdeveloped or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-13 Djordje Stratimirovic , Darko Sarvan , Vladimir Miljkovic , Suzana Blesic

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

The paper tackles the problem of deriving a topological structure among stock prices from high frequency historical values. Similar studies using low frequency data have already provided valuable insights. However, in those cases data need…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Donatello Materassi , Giacomo Innocenti

We perform a scaling analysis on NYSE daily returns. We show that volatility correlations are power-laws on a time range from one day to one year and, more important, that they exhibit a multiscale behaviour.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

Considering that both the entropy-based market information and the Hurst exponent are useful tools for determining whether the efficient market hypothesis holds for a given asset, we study the link between the two approaches. We thus…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

A detailed analysis of correlation between stock returns at high frequency is compared with simple models of random walks. We focus in particular on the dependence of correlations on time scales - the so-called Epps effect. This provides a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Matteo Marsili , Patrick Zoi

Permutation approach is suggested as a method to investigate financial time series in micro scales. The method is used to see how high frequency trading in recent years has affected the micro patterns which may be seen in financial time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-06 Cina Aghamohammadi , Mehran Ebrahimian , Hamed Tahmooresi

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

In this paper, we show how the sampling properties of the Hurst exponent methods of estimation change with the presence of heavy tails. We run extensive Monte Carlo simulations to find out how rescaled range analysis (R/S), multifractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Ladislav Kristoufek

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Anton Golub , Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

In addressing the question of the time scales characteristic for the market formation, we analyze high frequency tick-by-tick data from the NYSE and from the German market. By using returns on various time scales ranging from seconds or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

We investigated distributions of short term price trends for high frequency stock market data. A number of trends as a function of their lengths was measured. We found that such a distribution does not fit to results following from an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Paweł Sieczka , Janusz A. Hołyst