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This paper describes a novel approach to planning which takes advantage of decision theory to greatly improve robustness in an uncertain environment. We present an algorithm which computes conditional plans of maximum expected utility. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Stephen G. Pimentel , Lawrence M. Brem

Influence diagrams are widely employed to represent multi-stage decision problems in which each decision is a choice from a discrete set of alternatives, uncertain chance events have discrete outcomes, and prior decisions may influence the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Ahti Salo , Juho Andelmin , Fabricio Oliveira

With the internet, a massive amount of information on species abundance can be collected under citizen science programs. However, these data are often difficult to use directly in statistical inference, as their collection is generally…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-27 Christophe Giraud , Clément Calenge , Camille Coron , Romain Julliard

Due to the vast testing space, the increasing demand for effective and efficient testing of deep neural networks (DNNs) has led to the development of various DNN test case prioritization techniques. However, the fact that DNNs can deliver…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Jialuo Chen , Jingyi Wang , Xiyue Zhang , Youcheng Sun , Marta Kwiatkowska , Jiming Chen , Peng Cheng

We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Shai Feldman , Yaniv Romano

Rare events are occurrences that take place with a significantly lower frequency than more common regular events. In manufacturing, predicting such events is particularly important, as they lead to unplanned downtime, shortening equipment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Chathurangi Shyalika , Ruwan Wickramarachchi , Fadi El Kalach , Ramy Harik , Amit Sheth

Modern biological techniques enable very dense genetic sampling of unfolding evolutionary histories, and thus frequently sample some genotypes multiple times. This motivates strategies to incorporate genotype abundance information in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-09 William S. DeWitt , Luka Mesin , Gabriel D. Victora , Vladimir N. Minin , Frederick A. Matsen

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability. To ensure accurate prediction, the model needs to be calibrated and validated against real data. Conventional methods approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Yuanlu Bai , Tucker Balch , Haoxian Chen , Danial Dervovic , Henry Lam , Svitlana Vyetrenko

We propose a Cross-validated ADaptive ENrichment design (CADEN) in which a trial population is enriched with a subpopulation of patients who are predicted to benefit from the treatment more than an average patient (the sensitive group).…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Svetlana Cherlin , James M S Wason

Uncertainty arises naturally inmany application domains due to, e.g., data entry errors and ambiguity in data cleaning. Prior work in incomplete and probabilistic databases has investigated the semantics and efficient evaluation of ranking…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Su Feng , Boris Glavic , Oliver Kennedy

Although neural networks achieve promising performance in many tasks, they may still fail when encountering some examples and bring about risks to applications. To discover risky samples, previous literature attempts to search for patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Han Yu , Hao Zou , Xingxuan Zhang , Zhengyi Wang , Yue He , Kehan Li , Peng Cui

Complementary-label learning (CLL) is a weakly supervised learning paradigm for multiclass classification, where only complementary labels -- indicating classes an instance does not belong to -- are provided to the learning algorithm.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Nai-Xuan Ye , Tan-Ha Mai , Hsiu-Hsuan Wang , Wei-I Lin , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Gaussian mixtures are commonly used for modeling heavy-tailed error distributions in robust linear regression. Combining the likelihood of a multivariate robust linear regression model with a standard improper prior distribution yields an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Haoxiang Li , Qian Qin , Galin L. Jones

Since Knowledge Graphs are often incomplete, link prediction methods are adopted for predicting missing facts. Scalable embedding based solutions are mostly adopted for this purpose, however, they lack comprehensibility, which may be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Roberto Barile , Claudia d'Amato , Nicola Fanizzi

Robust correlation estimation is essential in high-dimensional settings, particularly when data are contaminated by outliers or exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Many robust loss functions of practical interest-such as those involving…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-19 Priyam Das

Choice overload - in which larger choice sets are detrimental to a chooser's well-being - is potentially of great importance in the design of economic policy. Yet the current evidence on its prevalence is inconclusive. We argue that…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-27 Mark Dean , Dilip Ravindran , Jörg Stoye

Principal component analysis (PCA) is by far the most widespread tool for unsupervised learning with high-dimensional data sets. Its application is popularly studied for the purpose of exploratory data analysis and online process…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Stefania Russo , Guangyu Li , Kris Villez

We present EntropyDB, an interactive data exploration system that uses a probabilistic approach to generate a small, query-able summary of a dataset. Departing from traditional summarization techniques, we use the Principle of Maximum…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Laurel Orr , Magdalena Balazinska , Dan Suciu

With observational data alone, causal structure learning is a challenging problem. The task becomes easier when having access to data collected from perturbations of the underlying system, even when the nature of these is unknown. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Armeen Taeb , Juan L. Gamella , Christina Heinze-Deml , Peter Bühlmann

We present MRPC, an R package that learns causal graphs with improved accuracy over existing packages, such as pcalg and bnlearn. Our algorithm builds on the powerful PC algorithm, the canonical algorithm in computer science for learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Md. Bahadur Badsha , Evan A Martin , Audrey Qiuyan Fu
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