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In this article, we fill a gap in the literature regarding quantitative functional central limit theorems (qfCLT) for Hawkes processes by providing an upper bound for the convergence of a nearly unstable Hawkes process toward a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

We consider the normal approximation of Kabanov-Skorohod integrals on a general Poisson space. Our bounds are for the Wasserstein and the Kolmogorov distance and involve only difference operators of the integrand of the Kabanov-Skorohod…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Günter Last , Ilya Molchanov , Matthias Schulte

We present an adaptation of Stein's method of normal approximation to the study of both discrete- and continuous-time dynamical systems. We obtain new correlation-decay conditions on dynamical systems for a multivariate central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

In this paper, we extend the notion of Cauchy-Schwarz divergence to point processes and establish that the Cauchy-Schwarz divergence between the probability densities of two Poisson point processes is half the squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-21 Hung Gia Hoang , Ba-Ngu Vo , Ba-Tuong Vo , Ronald Mahler

Using Chen-Stein method in combination with size-biased couplings, we obtain the multivariate Poisson approximation in terms of the Wasserstein distance. As applications, we study the multivariate Poisson approximation of the distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Eulalia Nualart , Rui-Ray Zhang

In this article, we consider Poisson and Poisson convoluted geometric approximation to the sums of $n$ independent random variables under moment conditions. We use Stein's method to derive the approximation results in total variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Pratima Eknath Kadu

We obtain a general bound for the Wasserstein-2 distance in normal approximation for sums of locally dependent random variables. The proof is based on an asymptotic expansion for expectations of second-order differentiable functions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Xiao Fang

In this paper we obtain non-uniform Berry-Esseen bounds for normal approximations by the Malliavin-Stein method. The techniques rely on a detailed analysis of the solutions of Stein's equations and will be applied to functionals of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Marius Butzek , Peter Eichelsbacher

We study Poisson's equation in the context of general state space Markov chains. For chains satisfying a contraction assumption w.r.t. a Wasserstein distance, we show that a solution exists for Lipschitz functions and investigate its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Julian Hofstadler

Given a mean zero functional $F$ of a Poisson measure on a metric space, we apply the Malliavin-Stein method to establish sharpened second-order Poincar\'e inequalities for $F/\sqrt{\operatorname{Var} (F)}$ in terms of fourth moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Tara Trauthwein , J. E. Yukich

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a sequence of independent random points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with common Lebesgue density $f$. Under some conditions on $f$, we obtain a Poisson limit theorem, as $n \to \infty$, for the number of large probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Nicolas Chenavier , Norbert Henze , Moritz Otto

Stein's method is used to approximate sums of discrete and locally dependent random variables by a centered and symmetric Binomial distribution. Under appropriate smoothness properties of the summands, the same order of accuracy as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Adrian Röllin

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

Consider the point process (in $\mathbb{R}^d$) of local maxima of smooth Gaussian fields, with sufficient decay of correlation at infinity, above a level $u$. We show that this point process, rescaled appropriately, converges weakly to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Dmitry Beliaev , Akshay Hegde

Bayesian inference typically requires the computation of an approximation to the posterior distribution. An important requirement for an approximate Bayesian inference algorithm is to output high-accuracy posterior mean and uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Trevor Campbell , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Tamara Broderick

We construct a system of interacting two-sided Bessel processes on the unit interval and show that the associated empirical measure process converges to the Wasserstein Diffusion, assuming that Markov uniqueness holds for the generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-17 Sebastian Andres , Max-K. von Renesse

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Renjie Feng , Stephen Muirhead

We establish a general concentration result for the 1-Wasserstein distance between the empirical measure of a sequence of random variables and its expectation. Unlike standard results that rely on independence (e.g., Sanov's theorem) or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Arash A. Amini , Luciano Vinas