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We derive and analyze new diffusion approximations of stationary distributions of Markov chains that are based on second- and higher-order terms in the expansion of the Markov chain generator. Our approximations achieve a higher degree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai , Xiao Fang

Poisson's equation is fundamental to the study of Markov chains, and arises in connection with martingale representations and central limit theorems for additive functionals, perturbation theory for stationary distributions, and average…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Peter W. Glynn , Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu

In this paper, we develop simple, yet efficient, procedures for sampling approximations of the two-Parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process and the normalized inverse-Gaussian process. We compare the efficiency of the new approximations to the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-25 Luai Al Labadi , Mahmoud Zarepour

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

By the continuous mapping theorem, if a sequence of $d$-dimensional random vectors $(\mathbf{W}_n)_{n\geq1}$ converges in distribution to a multivariate normal random variable $\Sigma^{1/2}\mathbf{Z}$, then the sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Robert E. Gaunt

We introduce the observable Wasserstein distance, a framework for deriving lower bounds on the Wasserstein distance between probability measures on Polish metric spaces, designed to bypass the computational intractability of exact optimal…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Edivaldo Lopes dos Santos , Leandro Vicente Mauri , Washington Mio , Tom Needham

We study strong (pathwise) approximation of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes. We propose a Milstein-type scheme that is suitably truncated close to zero, where the diffusion coefficient fails to be locally Lipschitz continuous. For this scheme…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm

We adapt Stein's method of diffusion approximations, developed by Barbour, to the study of chaotic dynamical systems. We establish an error bound in the functional central limit theorem with respect to an integral probability metric of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Juho Leppänen , Yuto Nakajima , Yushi Nakano

We propose a measure of the impact of any two choices of prior distributions by quantifying the Wasserstein distance between the respective resulting posterior distributions at any fixed sample size. We illustrate this measure on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-02 Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad , Christophe Ley

We investigate the minimal error in approximating a general probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ by the uniform measure on a finite set with prescribed cardinality $n$. The error is measured in the $p$-Wasserstein distance. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Filippo Quattrocchi

We analyze the sensitivity of solutions to the Fokker-Planck equation with respect to some unknown parameter. Our main result is to provide quantitative upper bounds for the $p$-Wasserstein distance $\mathcal{W}_p$ between two solutions…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Martin Morange

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

Using a characterizing equation for the Beta distribution, Stein's method is applied to obtain bounds of the optimal order for the Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the scaled number of white balls drawn from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-03 Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert

The Eulerian number A(n,k) counts permutations of n symbols with exactly k descents. Motivated by problems in cryptography, several authors have studied the proportion of permutations whose number of descents lies in a fixed congruence…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

In this paper we deal with pointwise approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by infinite dimensional Wiener process with additional jumps generated by Poisson random measure. The further investigations…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj , Łukasz Stȩpień

In this paper, quantitative central limit theorems for $U$-statistics on the $q$-dimensional torus defined in the framework of the two-sample problem for Poisson processes are derived. In particular, the $U$-statistics are built over tight…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Solesne Bourguin , Claudio Durastanti

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

We introduce a hull operator on Poisson point processes, the easiest example being the convex hull of the support of a point process in Euclidean space. Assuming that the intensity measure of the process is known on the set generated by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Günter Last , Ilya Molchanov

We establish asymptotic upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance of any order $p\ge 1$ between the empirical measure of a fractional Brownian motion on a flat torus and the uniform Lebesgue measure. Our inequalities reveal an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Martin Huesmann , Francesco Mattesini , Dario Trevisan

Subordinators are infinitely divisible distributions on the positive half-line. They are often used as mixing distributions in Poisson mixtures. We show that appropriately scaled Poisson mixtures can approximate the mixing subordinator and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Michael Grabchak , Sina Saba
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