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Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

The long time behavior of an absorbed Markov process is well described by the limiting distribution of the process conditioned to not be killed when it is observed. Our aim is to give an approximation's method of this limit, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-25 Denis Villemonais

We consider the piecewise-deterministic Markov process obtained by randomly switching between the flows generated by a finite set of smooth vector fields on a compact set. We obtain H\"ormander-type conditions on the vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

In this paper we prove the Poisson Hypothesis for the limiting behavior of the large queueing systems in some simple ("mean-field") cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical systems, defined by the non-linear Markov…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Rybko , Senya Shlosman

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

We consider a one-dimensional traffic model with a slow-to-start rule. The initial position of the cars in $\mathbb R$ is a Poisson process of parameter $\lambda$. Cars have speed 0 or 1 and travel in the same direction. At time zero the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Pablo A. Ferrari , Leonardo T. Rolla

We study the binary classification problem for Poisson point processes, which are allowed to take values in a general metric space. The problem is tackled in two different ways: estimating nonparametricaly the intensity functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Liliana Forzani , Pamela Llop , Leonardo Moreno

Propagation of charged cosmic-rays in the Galaxy depends on the transport parameters, whose number can be large depending on the propagation model under scrutiny. A standard approach for determining these parameters is a manual scan,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-05-13 A. Putze , L. Derome , D. Maurin , L. Perotto , R. Taillet

We consider a stochastic conservation law on the line with solution-dependent diffusivity, a super-linear, sub-quadratic Hamiltonian, and smooth, spatially-homogeneous kick-type random forcing. We show that this Markov process admits a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Theodore D. Drivas , Alexander Dunlap , Cole Graham , Joonhyun La , Lenya Ryzhik

We consider a load balancing model where a Poisson stream of jobs arrive at a system of many servers whose service time distribution possesses a finite second moment. A small fraction of arrivals pass through the so called power-of-choice…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Rami Atar , Gershon Wolansky

The insurance model when the amount of claims depends on the state of the insured person (healthy, ill, or dead) and claims are connected in a Markov chain is investigated. The signed compound Poisson approximation is applied to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Gabija Liaudanskaitė , Vydas Čekanavičius

A characteristic particle method for the simulation of first order macroscopic traffic models on road networks is presented. The approach is based on the method "particleclaw", which solves scalar one dimensional hyperbolic conservations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Yossi Farjoun , Benjamin Seibold

We study Markov processes conditioned so that their local time must grow slower than a prescribed function. Building upon recent work on Brownian motion with constrained local time in [5] and [33], we study transience and recurrence for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Adam Barker

The convex hull peeling of a point set is obtained by taking the convex hull of the set and repeating iteratively the operation on the interior points until no point remains. The boundary of each hull is called a layer. We study the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Pierre Calka , Gauthier Quilan

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

In this paper we study the Poisson Hypothesis, which is a device to analyze approximately the behavior of large queueing networks. We prove it in some simple limiting cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical system,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Rybko , S. Shlosman

We define a Markov process on the partitions of $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$ by drawing a sample in $[n]$ at each time of a Poisson process, by merging blocks that contain one of these points and by leaving all other blocks unchanged. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Sophie Lemaire

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

We consider a generalization of a one-dimensional stochastic process known in the physical literature as L\'evy-Lorentz gas. The process describes the motion of a particle on the real line in the presence of a random array of marked points,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Alessandra Bianchi , Giampaolo Cristadoro , Marco Lenci , Marilena Ligabò

We review the derivation of the Kac master equation model for random collisions of particles, its relationship to the Poisson process, and existing algorithms for simulating values from the marginal distribution of velocity for a single…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-07 Jem Corcoran , Dale Jennings , Paul VaughanMiller