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Variational inference algorithms such as belief propagation have had tremendous impact on our ability to learn and use graphical models, and give many insights for developing or understanding exact and approximate inference. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Qiang Liu , Alexander T. Ihler

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Expectation Propagation (EP) is a widely used iterative message-passing algorithm that decomposes a global inference problem into multiple local ones. It approximates marginal distributions as ``beliefs'' using intermediate functions called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Zilu Zhao , Jichao Chen , Dirk Slock

We analyse the performance of Belief Propagation Guided Decimation, a physics-inspired message passing algorithm, on the random $k$-XORSAT problem. Specifically, we derive an explicit threshold up to which the algorithm succeeds with a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Arnab Chatterjee , Amin Coja-Oghlan , Mihyun Kang , Lena Krieg , Maurice Rolvien , Gregory B. Sorkin

Randomized rumor spreading processes diffuse information on an undirected graph and have been widely studied. In this work, we present a generic framework for analyzing a broad class of such processes on regular graphs. Our analysis is…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Charlotte Out , Nicolás Rivera , Thomas Sauerwald , John Sylvester

The estimation of a random vector with independent components passed through a linear transform followed by a componentwise (possibly nonlinear) output map arises in a range of applications. Approximate message passing (AMP) methods, based…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Sundeep Rangan , Philip Schniter , Erwin Riegler , Alyson Fletcher , Volkan Cevher

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

In this thesis, a Bayes linear methodology for the adjustment of covariance matrices is presented and discussed. A geometric framework for quantifying uncertainties about covariance matrices is set up, and an inner-product for spaces of…

bayes-an · Physics 2016-08-31 Darren J Wilkinson

We consider the problem of maximum likelihood estimation in linear models represented by factor graphs and solved via the Gaussian belief propagation algorithm. Motivated by massive internet of things (IoT) networks and edge computing, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Mirsad Cosovic , Dragisa Miskovic , Muhamed Delalic , Darijo Raca , Dejan Vukobratovic

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

We investigate how insights from statistical physics, namely survey propagation, can improve decoding of a particular class of sparse error correcting codes. We show that a recently proposed algorithm, time averaged belief propagation, is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jonathan PL Hatchett , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Sameer Singh , Sebastian Riedel , Andrew McCallum

We consider a framework for determining and estimating the conditional pairwise relationships of variables when the observed samples are contaminated with measurement error in high dimensional settings. Assuming the true underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Michael Byrd , Linh Nghiem , Monnie McGee

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Motivated by recent progress in using restricted Boltzmann machines as preprocessing algorithms for deep neural network, we revisit the mean-field equations (belief-propagation and TAP equations) in the best understood such machine, namely…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-02-22 Marc Mezard

Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

Attack graphs provide compact representations of the attack paths that an attacker can follow to compromise network resources by analysing network vulnerabilities and topology. These representations are a powerful tool for security risk…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Luis Muñoz-González , Daniele Sgandurra , Andrea Paudice , Emil C. Lupu

We derive a Belief-Propagation algorithm for counting large loops in a directed network. We evaluate the distribution of the number of small loops in a directed random network with given degree sequence. We apply the algorithm to a few…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Ginestra Bianconi , Natali Gulbahce

Bayesian binary regression is a prosperous area of research due to the computational challenges encountered by currently available methods either for high-dimensional settings or large datasets, or both. In the present work, we focus on the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Rafael Boloix-Tortosa , F. Javier Payán-Somet , Eva Arias-de-Reyna , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes
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