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We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

This paper introduces a new stochastic process with values in the set Z of integers with sign. The increments of process are Poisson differences and the dynamics has an autoregressive structure. We study the properties of the process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Christian P. Robert

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

We consider the jump telegraph process when switching intensities depend on external shocks also accompanying with jumps. The incomplete financial market model based on this process is studied. The Esscher transform, which changes only…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Nikita Ratanov

Let $[\mathcal{P}]$ be the points of a Poisson process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $F$ a probability distribution with support on the non-negative integers. Models are formulated for generating translation invariant random graphs with vertex set…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen

This paper addresses a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors independently observe a time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The task is to decide between two hypotheses regarding the statistics of the observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Chetan D. Pahlajani , Ioannis Poulakakis , Herbert G. Tanner

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

We consider an integer-valued time series $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in\Z}$ where the models after a time $k^*$ is Poisson autoregressive with the conditional mean that depends on a parameter $\theta^*\in\Theta\subset\R^d$. The structure of the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 William Kengne , Isidore Séraphin Ngongo

Keeler, Ross and Xia (2016) recently derived approximation and convergence results, which imply that the point process formed from the signal strengths received by an observer in a wireless network under a general statistical propagation…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-09 Paul Keeler , Nathan Ross , Aihua Xia , Bartlomiej Blaszczyszyn

We develop a theory of optimal transport for stationary random measures with a focus on stationary point processes and construct a family of distances on the set of stationary random measures. These induce a natural notion of interpolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Matthias Erbar , Martin Huesmann , Jonas Jalowy , Bastian Müller

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala

Poisson distributed measurements in inverse problems often stem from Poisson point processes that are observed through discretized or finite-resolution detectors, one of the most prominent examples being positron emission tomography (PET).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Marco Mauritz , Benedikt Wirth

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

We consider the point process of signal strengths from transmitters in a wireless network observed from a fixed position under models with general signal path loss and random propagation effects. We show via coupling arguments that under…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Holger Paul Keeler , Nathan Ross , Aihua Xia

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We study the long-time behavior of variants of the telegraph process with position-dependent jump-rates, which result in a monotone gradient-like drift toward the origin. We compute their invariant laws and obtain, via probabilistic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-14 Joaquin Fontbona , Hélène Guérin , Florent Malrieu

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä