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We consider two independent Goldstein-Kac telegraph processes $X_1(t)$ and $X_2(t)$ on the real line $\Bbb R$, both developing with finite constant speed $c>0$, that, at the initial time instant $t=0$, simultaneously start from the origin…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Alexander D. Kolesnik

We study an inhomogeneous random connection model in the connectivity regime. The vertex set of the graph is a homogeneous Poisson point process $\mathcal{P}_s$ of intensity $s>0$ on the unit cube…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Srikanth K. Iyer , Sanjoy Kr. Jhawar

We focus on the estimation of the intensity of a Poisson process in the presence of a uniform noise. We propose a kernel-based procedure fully calibrated in theory and practice. We show that our adaptive estimator is optimal from the oracle…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-29 Anna Bonnet , Claire Lacour , Franck Picard , Vincent Rivoirard

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

The two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet distribution is a probability distribution on the totality of positive decreasing sequences with sum 1 and hence considered to govern masses of a random discrete distribution. A characterization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-12 Kenji Handa

Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

This paper reviews recent developments in fundamental limits and optimal algorithms for change point analysis. We focus on minimax optimal rates in change point detection and localisation, in both parametric and nonparametric models. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Yi Yu

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

This paper presents a numerical method to implement the parameter estimation method using response statistics that was recently formulated by the authors. The proposed approach formulates the parameter estimation problem of It\^o drift…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 He Zhang , Xiantao Li , John Harlim

We consider statistics on permutations chosen uniformly at random from fixed parabolic double cosets of the symmetric group. We show that the distribution of fixed points is asymptotically Poisson and establish central limit theorems for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 J. E. Paguyo

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Let $X$ be either $Z^d$ or the points of a Poisson process in $R^d$ of intensity 1. Given parameters $r$ and $p$, join each pair of points of $X$ within distance $r$ independently with probability $p$. This is the simplest case of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-08 Bela Bollobas , Svante Janson , Oliver Riordan

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

A new type of dependent thinning for point processes in continuous space is proposed, which leverages the advantages of determinantal point processes defined on finite spaces and, as such, is particularly amenable to statistical, numerical,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Paul Keeler

In this paper we present the distribution of the telegraph meander, a random function obtained by conditioning the telegraph process to stay above the zero level. The reflection principle for finite-velocity random motions allows the law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Andrea Pedicone , Enzo Orsingher

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

Non-homogeneous Poisson processes are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines, ranging from the environmental sciences to the health sciences. Often, the central object of interest in a point process is the underlying intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Tin Lok James Ng , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We present a simple model in dimension $d\geq 2$ for slowing particles in random media, where point particles move in straight lines among and inside spherical identical obstacles with Poisson distributed centres. When crossing an obstacle,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-05-16 François Golse , Valeria Ricci , Ana Jacinta Soares
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