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Related papers: Effect of selection on ancestry: an exactly solubl…

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Given a sample of genome sequences from an asexual population, can one predict its evolutionary future? Here we demonstrate that the branching patterns of reconstructed genealogical trees contains information about the relative fitness of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-13 Richard A. Neher , Colin A. Russell , Boris I. Shraiman

The paper reviews the results obtained for spatial population models and the evolution of the genealogies of these populations during the last decade by the author and his coworkers. The focus is on their large scale behaviour and on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Andreas Greven

We investigate the genealogy of a sample of $k\geq1$ particles chosen uniformly without replacement from a population alive at large times in a critical discrete-time Galton-Watson process in a varying environment (GWVE). We will show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Simon C. Harris , Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

Compared to a neutral model, purifying selection distorts the structure of genealogies and hence alters the patterns of sampled genetic variation. Although these distortions may be common in nature, our understanding of how we expect…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-30 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Lauren E. Nicolaisen , Joshua B. Plotkin , Michael M. Desai

We propose using a discounted version of a convex combination of the log-likelihood with the corresponding expected log-likelihood such that when they are maximized they yield a filter, predictor and smoother for time series. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Simon Donker van Heel , Neil Shephard

Community assembly is studied using individual-based multispecies models. The models have stochastic population dynamics with mutation, migration, and extinction of species. Mutants appear as a result of mutation of the resident species,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-18 Yohsuke Murase , Takashi Shimada , Nobuyasu Ito , Per Arne Rikvold

We consider a model of stationary population with random size given by a continuous state branching process with immigration with a quadratic branching mechanism. We give an exact elementary simulation procedure of the genealogical tree of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Jean-François Delmas , Romain Abraham

We study the propagation of waves in a medium in which the wave velocity fluctuates randomly in time. We prove that at long times, the statistical distribution of the wave energy is log-normal, with the average energy growing exponentially.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-09-01 R. Carminati , H. Chen , R. Pierrat , B. Shapiro

In sexual population, recombination reshuffles genetic variation and produces novel combinations of existing alleles, while selection amplifies the fittest genotypes in the population. If recombination is more rapid than selection,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Richard A. Neher , Marija Vucelja , Marc Mézard , Boris I. Shraiman

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

We consider a branching population where individuals live and reproduce independently. Their lifetimes are i.i.d. and they give birth at a constant rate b. The genealogical tree spanned by this process is called a splitting tree, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Benoît Henry

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We study coalescent processes conditional on the population pedigree under the exchangeable diploid bi-parental population model of \citet{BirknerEtAl2018}. While classical coalescent models average over all reproductive histories, thereby…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Frederic Alberti , Matthias Birkner , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Molecular phenotypes are important links between genomic information and organismic functions, fitness, and evolution. Complex phenotypes, which are also called quantitative traits, often depend on multiple genomic loci. Their evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Armita Nourmohammad , Stephan Schiffels , Michael Laessig

Shortly after a new class of objects is discovered, the attention shifts from the properties of the individual sources to the question of their origin: do all sources come from the same underlying population, or several populations are…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-07 Salvatore Vitale , Davide Gerosa , Will M. Farr , Stephen R. Taylor

Cancers follow a clonal Darwinian evolution, with fitter subclones replacing more quiescent cells, ultimately giving rise to macroscopic disease. High-throughput genomics provides the opportunity to investigate these processes and determine…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-07 Sakellarios Zairis , Hossein Khiabanian , Andrew J. Blumberg , Raul Rabadan

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider the hypothesis that Evolution promotes population-wide genome patterns that, under randomization, ensures the External Validity of adaptations across population members. An adaptation is Externally Valid (EV) if its effect holds…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Andre F. Ribeiro

We propose a model of the evolution of a matrix along a phylogenetic tree, in which transformations affect either entire rows or columns of the matrix. This represents the change of both lexical and phonological aspects of linguistic data,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-28 Grégoire Clarté , Robin J. Ryder

In this paper we study a class of stochastic individual-based models that describe the evolution of haploid populations where each individual is characterised by a phenotype and a genotype. The phenotype of an individual determines its…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier