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What is the ideal regression (if any) for estimating average causal effects? We study this question in the setting of discrete covariates, deriving expressions for the finite-sample variance of various stratification estimators. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 P. Richard Hahn , Andrew Herren

The paper deals with joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear continuous-time systems. Based on a guaranteed LPV approximation, the set adaptive observers design problem is solved avoiding the exponential complexity obstruction…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2010-12-06 Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Ali Zolghadri

We consider estimation of the structural distribution function of the cell probabilities of a multinomial sample in situations where the number of cells is large. We review the performance of the natural estimator, an estimator based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. van Es , C. A. J. Klaassen , R. M. Mnatsakanov

We propose and analyze a regularization approach for structured prediction problems. We characterize a large class of loss functions that allows to naturally embed structured outputs in a linear space. We exploit this fact to design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Carlo Ciliberto , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco

This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

Motivated by models for multiway comparison data, we consider the problem of estimating a coordinate-wise isotonic function on the domain $[0, 1]^d$ from noisy observations collected on a uniform lattice, but where the design points have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Ashwin Pananjady , Richard J. Samworth

Adaptive exploration methods propose ways to learn complex policies via alternating between exploration and exploitation. An important question for such methods is to determine the appropriate moment to switch between exploration and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Leonidas Bakopoulos , Georgios Chalkiadakis

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

We present a new method for design problems wherein the goal is to maximize or specify the value of one or more properties of interest. For example, in protein design, one may wish to find the protein sequence that maximizes fluorescence.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 David H. Brookes , Hahnbeom Park , Jennifer Listgarten

The robust estimator presented in this paper processes each structure independently. The scales of the structures are estimated adaptively and no threshold is involved in spite of different objective functions. The user has to specify only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Xiang Yang , Peter Meer

Conformal prediction quantifies the uncertainty of machine learning models by augmenting point predictions with valid prediction sets. For complex scenarios involving multiple trials, models, or data sources, conformal prediction sets can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Gina Wong , Drew Prinster , Suchi Saria , Rama Chellappa , Anqi Liu

In this paper we propose a multivariate ordinal regression model which allows the joint modeling of three-dimensional panel data containing both repeated and multiple measurements for a collection of subjects. This is achieved by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Laura Vana-Gür

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Estimation of Markov Random Field and covariance models from high-dimensional data represents a canonical problem that has received a lot of attention in the literature. A key assumption, widely employed, is that of {\em sparsity} of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

Our article addresses the problem of flexibly estimating a multivariate density while also attempting to estimate its marginals correctly. We do so by proposing two new estimators that try to capture the best features of mixture of normals…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-05 Paolo Giordani , Xiuyan Mun , Robert Kohn

Adjusting for (baseline) covariates with working regression models becomes standard practice in the analysis of randomized clinical trials (RCT). When the dimension $p$ of the covariates is large relative to the sample size $n$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yujia Gu , Lin Liu , Wei Ma

Sparse regression and classification estimators that respect group structures have application to an assortment of statistical and machine learning problems, from multitask learning to sparse additive modeling to hierarchical selection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Ryan Thompson , Farshid Vahid

A successful approach to structured learning is to write the learning objective as a joint function of linear parameters and inference messages, and iterate between updates to each. This paper observes that if the inference problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Justin Domke

This paper addresses the task of explaining anomalous predictions of a black-box regression model. When using a black-box model, such as one to predict building energy consumption from many sensor measurements, we often have a situation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Tsuyoshi Idé , Amit Dhurandhar , Jiří Navrátil , Moninder Singh , Naoki Abe