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Recurrence plots provide a graphical representation of the recurrent patterns in a timeseries, the quantification of which is a relatively new field. Here we derive analytical expressions which relate the values of key statistics, notably…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 T. K. March , S. C. Chapman , R. O. Dendy

In empirical studies of random walks, continuous trajectories of animals or individuals are usually sampled over a finite number of points in space and time. It is however unclear how this partial observation affects the measured…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-13 Riccardo Gallotti , Rémi Louf , Jean-Marc Luck , Marc Barthelemy

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

This study investigates empirically whether the degree of stock market efficiency is related to the prediction power of future price change using the indices of twenty seven stock markets. Efficiency refers to weak-form efficient market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Fat tails in financial time series and increase of stocks cross-correlations in high volatility periods are puzzling facts that ask for new paradigms. Both points are of key importance in fundamental research as well as in Risk Management…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Airoldi

The financial markets are understood as complex dynamical systems whose dynamics is analysed mostly using nonstationary and brief data sets that usually come from stock markets. For such data sets, a reliable method of analysis is based on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Krishnadas M. , K. P. Harikrishnan , G. Ambika

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

All too often measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However this may not capture all facets of reality. We study empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-01 Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

Positive feedback trading, which buys when prices rise and sells when prices fall, has long been criticized for being destabilizing as it moves prices away from the fundamentals. Motivated by the relationship between positive feedback…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-25 Aihua Li

We consider a few quantities that characterize trading on a stock market in a fixed time interval: logarithmic returns, volatility, trading activity (i.e., the number of transactions), and volume traded. We search for the power-law…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Rafal Rak , Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka

We study the heartbeat activity of healthy individuals at rest and during exercise. We focus on correlation properties of the intervals formed by successive peaks in the pulse wave and find significant scaling differences between rest and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Roman Karasik , Nir Sapir , Yosef Ashkenazy , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Itzhak Dvir , Peretz Lavie , Shlomo Havlin

To understand the emergence of Ultrafast Extreme Events (UEEs), the influence of algorithmic trading or high-frequency traders is of major interest as they make it extremely difficult to intervene and to stabilize financial markets. In an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-04 Luca Henrichs , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

We address the problem of evaluating the transfer entropy (TE) produced by biochemical reactions from experimentally measured data. Although these reactions are generally non-linear and non-stationary processes making it challenging to…

A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Chandradew Sharma , Kinjal Banerjee

Fluctuation scaling is observed phenomenon from complex networks through finance to ecology. It means that the variance and the mean of a specific quantity are related as $\ev{\sigma^2|n}\propto \ev{n|A}^{2\alpha}$ with $1/2\geq \alpha \geq…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Understanding the innovation process, that is the underlying mechanisms through which novelties emerge, diffuse and trigger further novelties is undoubtedly of fundamental importance in many areas (biology, linguistics, social science and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-29 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

In time-series analysis, the term "lead-lag effect" is used to describe a delayed effect on a given time series caused by another time series. lead-lag effects are ubiquitous in practice and are specifically critical in formulating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa
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