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For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The presence of significant cross-correlations between the synchronous time evolution of a pair of equity returns is a well-known empirical fact. The Pearson correlation is commonly used to indicate the level of similarity in the price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Dror Y. Kenett , Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The cross-correlation matrix of daily returns of stock market indices in a diverse set of 37 countries worldwide was analyzed. Comparison of the spectrum of this matrix with predictions of random matrix theory provides an empirical evidence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sergei Maslov

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

We point out a stunning time asymmetry in the short time cross correlations between intra-day and overnight volatilities (absolute values of log-returns of stock prices). While overnight volatility is significantly (and positively)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-29 Rubina Zadourian , Peter Grassberger

A new approach is presented to describe the change in the statistics of the log return distribution of financial data as a function of the timescale. To this purpose a measure is introduced, which quantifies the distance of a considered…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Andreas P. Nawroth , Joachim Peinke

A new approach to obtaining market--directional information, based on a non-stationary solution to the dynamic equation "future price tends to the value that maximizes the number of shares traded per unit time" [1] is presented. In our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-03 Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin

We study the probability distribution of stock returns at mesoscopic time lags (return horizons) ranging from about an hour to about a month. While at shorter microscopic time lags the distribution has power-law tails, for mesoscopic times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Richard E. Prange , Victor M. Yakovenko

We introduce a novel method for measuring properties of periodic phenomena with an event camera, a device asynchronously reporting brightness changes at independently operating pixels. The approach assumes that for fast periodic phenomena,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Jakub Kolář , Radim Špetlík , Jiří Matas

We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , M. Forczek , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka , R. Rak

This paper derives the expressions of correlations between prices of two assets, returns of two assets, and price-return correlations of two assets that depend on statistical moments and correlations of the current values, past values, and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-18 Victor Olkhov

In order to understand the origin of stock price jumps, we cross-correlate high-frequency time series of stock returns with different news feeds. We find that neither idiosyncratic news nor market wide news can explain the frequency and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Armand Joulin , Augustin Lefevre , Daniel Grunberg , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate how price variations of a stock are transformed into profits and losses (P&Ls) of a trend following strategy. In the frame of a Gaussian model, we derive the probability distribution of P&Ls and analyze its moments (mean,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov , J. Serror

We show that the scale dependence of the fluctuations of the natural time itself under time reversal provides a useful tool for the discrimination of seismic electric signals (critical dynamics) from noises emitted from man made sources as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou

We study the cross-correlations in stock price changes between the S&P 500 companies by introducing a weighted random graph, where all vertices (companies) are fully connected, and each edge is weighted. The weight assigned to each edge is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Hyun-Joo Kim , Youngki Lee , In-mook Kim , Byungnam Kahng

We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

The rapid development of Internet technology enables human explore the web and record the traces of online activities. From the analysis of these large-scale data sets (i.e. traces), we can get insights about dynamic behavior of human…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-12 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Shi-Min Cai , Junming Huang , Yan Fu , Tao Zhou

Recent research on the response of stock prices to trading activity revealed long lasting effects, even across stocks of different companies. These results imply non-Markovian effects in price formation and when trading many stocks at the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-28 Juan C. Henao-Londono , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr