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In this note we develop a prelimit analysis of performance measures for importance sampling schemes related to small noise diffusion processes. In importance sampling the performance of any change of measure is characterized by its second…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Variational inference (VI) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are two main approximate approaches for learning deep generative models by maximizing marginal likelihood. In this paper, we propose using annealed importance sampling for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Xinqiang Ding , David J. Freedman

Model fitting is possibly the most extended problem in science. Classical approaches include the use of least-squares fitting procedures and maximum likelihood methods to estimate the value of the parameters in the model. However, in recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-12 J. Lopez-Santiago , L. Martino , J. Miguez , M. A. Vazquez

We propose digitized counterdiabatic quantum sampling (DCQS), a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm for efficient sampling from energy-based models, such as low-temperature Boltzmann distributions. The method utilizes counterdiabatic…

We consider Bayesian inference by importance sampling when the likelihood is analytically intractable but can be unbiasedly estimated. We refer to this procedure as importance sampling squared (IS2), as we can often estimate the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-26 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Randomization tests are widely used to generate finite-sample valid $p$-values for causal inference on experimental data. However, when applied to subgroup analysis, these tests may lack power due to small subgroup sizes. Incorporating a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Yao Zhang , Zijun Gao

Increased access to computing resources has led to the development of algorithms that can run efficiently on multi-core processing units or in distributed computing environments. In the context of Bayesian inference, many parallel computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-11 Daniel Würzler Barreto , Mevin B. Hooten

We present a practical and statistically consistent scheme for actively learning binary classifiers under general loss functions. Our algorithm uses importance weighting to correct sampling bias, and by controlling the variance, we are able…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-05-20 Alina Beygelzimer , Sanjoy Dasgupta , John Langford

Probabilistic models in physics often require from the evaluation of normalized Boltzmann factors, which in turn implies the computation of the partition function Z. Getting the exact value of Z, though, becomes a forbiddingly expensive…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-04-18 A. Prat Pou , E. Romero , J. Martí , F. Mazzanti

The population annealing algorithm is a population-based equilibrium version of simulated annealing. It can sample thermodynamic systems with rough free-energy landscapes more efficiently than standard Markov chain Monte Carlo alone. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-17 Denis Gessert , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) and its Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) extensions are state-of-the-art methods for estimating normalizing constants of probability distributions. We propose here a novel Monte Carlo algorithm, Annealed Flow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-12 Michael Arbel , Alexander G. D. G. Matthews , Arnaud Doucet

Quantum annealing is a general strategy for solving difficult optimization problems with the aid of quantum adiabatic evolution. Both analytical and numerical evidence suggests that under idealized, closed system conditions, quantum…

Importance sampling is a well developed method in statistics. Given a random variable $X$, the problem of estimating its expected value $\mu$ is addressed. The standard approach is to use the sample mean as an estimator $\bar x$. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-09 Georg Hofmann

Probabilistic models based on Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) imply the evaluation of normalized Boltzmann factors, which in turn require from the evaluation of the partition function Z. The exact evaluation of Z, though, becomes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Ferran Mazzanti , Enrique Romero

Boltzmann machines are the basis of several deep learning methods that have been successfully applied to both supervised and unsupervised machine learning tasks. These models assume that a dataset is generated according to a Boltzmann…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-25 Richard Y. Li , Tameem Albash , Daniel A. Lidar

In this paper, we investigate the conformational dynamics of alanine dipeptide under an external electric field by nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation. We consider the case of a constant and of an oscillatory field. In this context…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-11-11 Han Wang , Christof Schütte , Giovanni Ciccotti , Luigi Delle Site

We present a near-optimal reduction from approximately counting the cardinality of a discrete set to approximately sampling elements of the set. An important application of our work is to approximating the partition function $Z$ of a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Stefankovic , Santosh Vempala , Eric Vigoda

Discrete stochastic processes (DSP) are instrumental for modelling the dynamics of probabilistic systems and have a wide spectrum of applications in science and engineering. DSPs are usually analyzed via Monte Carlo methods since the number…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-08-17 Carsten Blank , Daniel K. Park , Francesco Petruccione

An importance sampling method based on Generalized Feynman-Kac method has been used to calculate the mean values of quantum observables from quantum correlation functions for many body systems both at zero and finite temperature.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-11 Sumita Datta

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang
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