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Simulated annealing solves global optimization problems by means of a random walk in a cooling energy landscape based on the objective function and a temperature parameter. However, if the temperature is decreased too quickly, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Vincent Molin , Axel Ringh , Moritz Schauer , Akash Sharma

Given an unnormalized target distribution we want to obtain approximate samples from it and a tight lower bound on its (log) normalization constant log Z. Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) with Hamiltonian MCMC is a powerful method that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

Although overparameterized models have shown their success on many machine learning tasks, the accuracy could drop on the testing distribution that is different from the training one. This accuracy drop still limits applying machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yiping Lu , Wenlong Ji , Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying

Quantum annealing is a proposed combinatorial optimization technique meant to exploit quantum mechanical effects such as tunneling and entanglement. Real-world quantum annealing-based solvers require a combination of annealing and classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-07-30 Kenneth M. Zick , Omar Shehab , Matthew French

Quantum annealers are emerging as programmable, dynamical experimental platforms for probing strongly correlated spin systems. Yet key thermal assumptions, chiefly a Gibbs-distributed output ensemble, remain unverified in the large-scale…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-04 George Grattan , Pratik Sathe , Cristiano Nisoli

Importance sampling is a central idea underlying off-policy prediction in reinforcement learning. It provides a strategy for re-weighting samples from a distribution to obtain unbiased estimates under another distribution. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Kristopher De Asis , Eric Graves , Richard S. Sutton

Recently a new algorithm for sampling posteriors of unnormalised probability densities, called ABC Shadow, was proposed in [8]. This talk introduces a global optimisation procedure based on the ABC Shadow simulation dynamics. First the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-20 R. S. Stoica , M. Deaconu , L. Hurtado

Particle based optimization algorithms have recently been developed as sampling methods that iteratively update a set of particles to approximate a target distribution. In particular Stein variational gradient descent has gained attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Francesco D'Angelo , Vincent Fortuin

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

The variance reduction established by importance sampling strongly depends on the choice of the importance sampling distribution. A good choice is often hard to achieve especially for high-dimensional integration problems. Nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-10 Jan C. Neddermeyer

We present here two novel algorithms for simulated tempering simulations, which break detailed balance condition (DBC) but satisfy the skewed detailed balance to ensure invariance of the target distribution. The irreversible methods we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-03 Fahim Faizi , Pedro J. Buigues , George Deligiannidis , Edina Rosta

We consider the outstanding problem of sampling from an unnormalized density that may be non-log-concave and multimodal. To enhance the performance of simple Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, techniques of annealing type have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Wei Guo , Molei Tao , Yongxin Chen

Kernel methods have revolutionized the fields of pattern recognition and machine learning. Their success, however, critically depends on the choice of kernel parameters. Using Gaussian process (GP) classification as a working example, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Maurizio Filippone

In this paper, we study the annealed ferromagnetic Ising model on the configuration model. In an annealed system, we take the average on both sides of the ratio {defining the Boltzmann-Gibbs measure of the Ising model}. In the configuration…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Van Hao Can , Cristian Giardinà , Claudio Giberti , Remco van der Hofstad

Multiple importance sampling estimators are widely used for computing intractable constants due to its reliability and robustness. The celebrated balance heuristic estimator belongs to this class of methods and has proved very successful in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-05 Felipe J Medina-Aguayo , Richard G Everitt

We demonstrate that is it possible to simulate a system in thermal equilibrium even when the energy cannot be evaluated exactly, provided the error distribution is known. This leads to an effective optimisation strategy for problems where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Robin C. Ball , Thomas M. A. Fink , Neill E. Bowler

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have important applications in counting problems and in machine learning problems, settings that involve estimating quantities that are difficult to compute exactly. How much can quantum computers speed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-10 Aram W. Harrow , Annie Y. Wei

Sampling from multimodal distributions is a central challenge in Bayesian inference and machine learning. In light of hardness results for sampling -- classical MCMC methods, even with tempering, can suffer from exponential mixing times --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-23 Holden Lee , Matheau Santana-Gijzen

Annealed Sequential Monte Carlo (ASMC) samplers are special cases of SMC samplers where the sequence of distributions can be embedded in a smooth path of distributions. Using this underlying path and a performance model based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-03 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Kevin Chern , Arnaud Doucet