English

Why did the distribution change?

Methodology 2021-05-25 v2 Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning

Abstract

We describe a formal approach based on graphical causal models to identify the "root causes" of the change in the probability distribution of variables. After factorizing the joint distribution into conditional distributions of each variable, given its parents (the "causal mechanisms"), we attribute the change to changes of these causal mechanisms. This attribution analysis accounts for the fact that mechanisms often change independently and sometimes only some of them change. Through simulations, we study the performance of our distribution change attribution method. We then present a real-world case study identifying the drivers of the difference in the income distribution between men and women.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2102.13384,
  title  = {Why did the distribution change?},
  author = {Kailash Budhathoki and Dominik Janzing and Patrick Bloebaum and Hoiyi Ng},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.13384},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

Proceedings of the Twenty Fourth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 2021

R2 v1 2026-06-23T23:32:21.860Z