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When More Experts Hurt: Underfitting in Multi-Expert Learning to Defer

Machine Learning 2026-02-20 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

Learning to Defer (L2D) enables a classifier to abstain from predictions and defer to an expert, and has recently been extended to multi-expert settings. In this work, we show that multi-expert L2D is fundamentally more challenging than the single-expert case. With multiple experts, the classifier's underfitting becomes inherent, which seriously degrades prediction performance, whereas in the single-expert setting it arises only under specific conditions. We theoretically reveal that this stems from an intrinsic expert identifiability issue: learning which expert to trust from a diverse pool, a problem absent in the single-expert case and renders existing underfitting remedies failed. To tackle this issue, we propose PiCCE (Pick the Confident and Correct Expert), a surrogate-based method that adaptively identifies a reliable expert based on empirical evidence. PiCCE effectively reduces multi-expert L2D to a single-expert-like learning problem, thereby resolving multi expert underfitting. We further prove its statistical consistency and ability to recover class probabilities and expert accuracies. Extensive experiments across diverse settings, including real-world expert scenarios, validate our theoretical results and demonstrate improved performance.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.17144,
  title  = {When More Experts Hurt: Underfitting in Multi-Expert Learning to Defer},
  author = {Shuqi Liu and Yuzhou Cao and Lei Feng and Bo An and Luke Ong},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.17144},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:42:34.735Z