English

Variance decompositions for extensive-form games

Other Statistics 2020-09-11 v1

Abstract

Quantitative measures of randomness in games are useful for game design and have implications for gambling law. We treat the outcome of a game as a random variable and derive a closed-form expression and estimator for the variance in the outcome attributable to a player of the game. We analyze poker hands to show that randomness in the cards dealt has little influence on the outcomes of each hand. A simple example is given to demonstrate how variance decompositions can be used to measure other interesting properties of games.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2009.04834,
  title  = {Variance decompositions for extensive-form games},
  author = {Alex Cloud and Eric Laber},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.04834},
  year   = {2020}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T18:26:36.791Z