English

unimpeded: A Public Grid of Nested Sampling Chains for Cosmological Model Comparison and Tension Analysis

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics 2026-04-03 v2 Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics

Abstract

Bayesian inference is central to modern cosmology, yet comprehensive model comparison and tension quantification remain computationally prohibitive for many researchers. To address this, we release unimpeded\texttt{unimpeded}, a publicly available Python library and data repository providing pre-computed nested sampling and MCMC chains. We apply this resource to conduct a systematic analysis across a grid of eight cosmological models, including Λ\LambdaCDM and seven extensions, and 39 datasets, including individual probes and their pairwise combinations. Our model comparison reveals that whilst individual datasets show varied preferences for model extensions, the base Λ\LambdaCDM model is most frequently preferred in combined analyses, with the general trend suggesting that evidence for new physics is diluted when probes are combined. Using five complementary statistics, we quantify tensions, finding the most significant to be between DES and Planck (σ=3.57±0.10\sigma=3.57\pm0.10) and SH0ES and Planck (σ=3.27±0.10\sigma=3.27\pm0.10) within ΩkΛ\Omega_k\LambdaCDM. We characterise the S8S_8 tension as high-dimensional (dG=4.87±0.79d_G=4.87\pm0.79) and partially resolvable in certain extended models, whereas the Hubble tension is low-dimensional and persists across the model space. Caution should be exercised when combining datasets in tension. The unimpeded\texttt{unimpeded} data products, hosted on Zenodo, provide a powerful resource for reproducible cosmological analysis and underscore the robustness of the Λ\LambdaCDM model against this comprehensive benchmark compilation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.04661,
  title  = {unimpeded: A Public Grid of Nested Sampling Chains for Cosmological Model Comparison and Tension Analysis},
  author = {Dily Duan Yi Ong and Will Handley},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.04661},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

49 pages, 13 figures