English

Uniformly bounded regret in the multi-secretary problem

Probability 2019-10-22 v2 Discrete Mathematics Data Structures and Algorithms Optimization and Control

Abstract

In the secretary problem of Cayley (1875) and Moser (1956), nn non-negative, independent, random variables with common distribution are sequentially presented to a decision maker who decides when to stop and collect the most recent realization. The goal is to maximize the expected value of the collected element. In the kk-choice variant, the decision maker is allowed to make knk \leq n selections to maximize the expected total value of the selected elements. Assuming that the values are drawn from a known distribution with finite support, we prove that the best regret---the expected gap between the optimal online policy and its offline counterpart in which all nn values are made visible at time 00---is uniformly bounded in the the number of candidates nn and the budget kk. Our proof is constructive: we develop an adaptive Budget-Ratio policy that achieves this performance. The policy selects or skips values depending on where the ratio of the residual budget to the remaining time stands relative to multiple thresholds that correspond to middle points of the distribution. We also prove that being adaptive is crucial: in general, the minimal regret among non-adaptive policies grows like the square root of nn. The difference is the value of adaptiveness.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1710.07719,
  title  = {Uniformly bounded regret in the multi-secretary problem},
  author = {Alessandro Arlotto and Itai Gurvich},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1710.07719},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

42 pages, 7 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T22:21:04.544Z