English

Uniform Inductive Spatio-Temporal Kriging

Artificial Intelligence 2026-05-12 v2

Abstract

Inductive spatio-temporal kriging infers signals at unobserved locations from observed sensors, but real-world observations are often incomplete and exhibit block-wise missingness caused by failures, interruptions, or maintenance. A common impute-then-krige pipeline suffers from objective mismatch: better reconstruction on observed sensors does not necessarily improve downstream kriging, and value-dependent imputation bias can be propagated to unobserved nodes. We propose UniSTOK, a plug-and-play framework for inductive spatio-temporal kriging under incomplete observations. We first introduce Reliability-guided Signal Regulation (RSR), which estimates entry-wise reliability from temporal continuity and spatial support, and uses it to regulate the input signals so that reliable observations are emphasized while long-gap or weakly supported entries are suppressed before spatial propagation. We further introduce Residual Bias Calibration (RBC), which estimates value-conditioned residual prototypes after the main predictor converges and learns context-correction amplitudes to adaptively calibrate systematic over- or under-estimation in final kriging predictions. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show that UniSTOK consistently improves multiple kriging backbones.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.05301,
  title  = {Uniform Inductive Spatio-Temporal Kriging},
  author = {Lewei Xie and Haoyu Zhang and Yulong Chen and Liangjun You and Zongxian Yang and Yifan Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.05301},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T11:05:06.905Z