English

Ulam's History-dependent Random Adding Process

Probability 2021-05-05 v2

Abstract

Ulam has defined a history-dependent random sequence of integers by the recursion Xn+1X_{n+1} =XU(n)+XV(n),nr= X_{U(n)}+X_{V(n)}, n \geqslant r where U(n)U(n) and V(n)V(n) are independently and uniformly distributed on {1,,n}\{1,\dots,n\}, and the initial sequence, X1=x1,,Xr=xrX_1=x_1,\dots,X_r=x_r, is fixed. We consider the asymptotic properties of this sequence as nn \to \infty, showing, for example, that n2k=1nXkn^{-2} \sum_{k=1}^n X_k converges to a non-degenerate random variable. We also consider the moments and auto-covariance of the process, showing, for example, that when the initial condition is x1=1x_1 =1 with r=1r =1, then limnn2EXn2=(2π)1sinh(π)\lim_{n\to \infty} n^{-2} E X^2_n = (2 \pi)^{-1} \sinh(\pi); and that for large m<nm < n, we have (mn)1EXmXn(3π)1sinh(π).(m n)^{-1} E X_m X_n \doteq (3 \pi)^{-1} \sinh(\pi). We further consider new random adding processes where changes occur independently at discrete times with probability pp, or where changes occur continuously at jump times of an independent Poisson process. The processes are shown to have properties similar to those of the discrete time process with p=1p=1, and to be readily generalised to a wider range of related sequences.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1911.07529,
  title  = {Ulam's History-dependent Random Adding Process},
  author = {Peter Clifford and David Stirzaker},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.07529},
  year   = {2021}
}

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Expanded version

R2 v1 2026-06-23T12:18:59.474Z