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TUNE: Algorithm-Agnostic Inference after Changepoint Detection

Methodology 2024-09-25 v1 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

In multiple changepoint analysis, assessing the uncertainty of detected changepoints is crucial for enhancing detection reliability -- a topic that has garnered significant attention. Despite advancements through selective p-values, current methodologies often rely on stringent assumptions tied to specific changepoint models and detection algorithms, potentially compromising the accuracy of post-detection statistical inference. We introduce TUNE (Thresholding Universally and Nullifying change Effect), a novel algorithm-agnostic approach that uniformly controls error probabilities across detected changepoints. TUNE sets a universal threshold for multiple test statistics, applicable across a wide range of algorithms, and directly controls the family-wise error rate without the need for selective p-values. Through extensive theoretical and numerical analyses, TUNE demonstrates versatility, robustness, and competitive power, offering a viable and reliable alternative for model-agnostic post-detection inference.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2409.15676,
  title  = {TUNE: Algorithm-Agnostic Inference after Changepoint Detection},
  author = {Yinxu Jia and Jixuan Liu and Guanghui Wang and Zhaojun Wang and Changliang Zou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.15676},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T18:54:42.743Z