English

Time-based analysis of the NBA hot hand fallacy

Other Statistics 2019-12-17 v1 Applications

Abstract

The debate surrounding the hot hand in the NBA has been ongoing for many years. However, many of the previous works on this theme has focused on only the very next sequential shot attempt, often on very select players. This work looks in more detail the effect of a made or missed shot on the next series of shots over a two-year span, with time between shots shown to be a critical factor in the analysis. Also, multi-year streakiness is analyzed, and all indications are that players cannot really sustain their good (or bad) fortune from year to year.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1912.07442,
  title  = {Time-based analysis of the NBA hot hand fallacy},
  author = {Samuel Henry},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1912.07442},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

6 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T12:47:13.018Z