English

The identification of diffusions from imperfect observations

Probability 2024-10-24 v1 Classical Analysis and ODEs

Abstract

This paper studies the identification of an Rd\mathbb{R}^d-valued diffusion XX when a running function of it, say h(Xt)h(X_t), is observed. A point-wise observation of the process (in other words, observing h(Xt)h(X_t) in isolation) cannot identify XtX_t unless the hh is injective. However observing h(Xs)h(X_s) on a small interval [t,t+ε][t,t+\varepsilon] can be enough to determine XtX_t exactly. The paper contain results that expand on this idea; in particular, a property of `fine total asymmetry' of twice continuously differentiable hh is introduced that depends on the fine topology of potential theory and that is both necessary and sufficient for XX to be adapted to a natural right-continuous filtration generated by the observations. This particular filtration, though augmented with null sets, does not depend on the distribution of X0X_0. For real-analytic hh the property reduces to simple asymmetry; that is, there is no nontrivial affine isometry κ\kappa on Rd\mathbb{R}^d such that h=hκh = h \circ \kappa. A second result concerns the case where X0X_0 is given and hh is merely Borel; then XX is adapted to an augmented filtration generated by the observation process (h(Xt))t0(h(X_t))_{t\geq 0} if hh is `locally invertible' on a subset of Rd\mathbb{R}^d dense in the fine topology on Rd\mathbb{R}^d.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2410.17737,
  title  = {The identification of diffusions from imperfect observations},
  author = {Dan Crisan and Martin Clark},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.17737},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T19:32:41.666Z