The fixation time of a strongly beneficial allele in a structured population
Abstract
For a beneficial allele which enters a large unstructured population and eventually goes to fixation, it is known that the time to fixation is approximately for a large selection coefficient . For a population that is distributed over finitely many colonies, with migration between these colonies, we detect various regimes of the migration rate for which the fixation times have different asymptotics as . If is of order , the allele fixes (as in the spatially unstructured case) in time . If is of order , the fixation time is , where is the number of migration steps that are needed to reach all other colonies starting from the colony where the beneficial allele appeared. If , the fixation time is , where is a random time in a simple epidemic model. The main idea for our analysis is to combine a new moment dual for the process conditioned to fixation with the time reversal in equilibrium of a spatial version of Neuhauser and Krone's ancestral selection graph.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1402.1769,
title = {The fixation time of a strongly beneficial allele in a structured population},
author = {Andreas Greven and Peter Pfaffelhuber and Cornelia Pokalyuk and Anton Wakolbinger},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1402.1769},
year = {2016}
}
Comments
52 pages, 5 figures, revised Proof of Proposition 3.18 and Theorem 2