English

The external lengths in Kingman's coalescent

Probability 2011-01-18 v2

Abstract

In this paper we prove asymptotic normality of the total length of external branches in Kingman's coalescent. The proof uses an embedded Markov chain, which can be descriped as follows: Take an urn with n black balls. Empty it in n steps according to the rule: In each step remove a randomly chosen pair of balls and replace it by one red ball. Finally remove the last remaining ball. Then the numbers U_k, 0 \leq k \leq n, of red balls after k steps exhibits an unexpected property: (U_0,...,U_n) and (U_n,..., U_0) are equal in distribution.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1004.5011,
  title  = {The external lengths in Kingman's coalescent},
  author = {Svante Janson and Götz Kersting},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1004.5011},
  year   = {2011}
}

Comments

Author added, new approach to the urn model, new proof of the main reversibility result

R2 v1 2026-06-21T15:15:52.047Z