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Testing Hypotheses in Particle Physics: Plots of $p_{0}$ Versus $p_{1}$

Methodology 2014-08-27 v1

Abstract

For situations where we are trying to decide which of two hypotheses H0H_{0} and H1H_{1} provides a better description of some data, we discuss the usefulness of plots of p0p_{0} versus p1p_{1}, where pip_{i} is the pp-value for testing HiH_{i}. They provide an interesting way of understanding the difference between the standard way of excluding H1H_{1} and the CLsCL_{s} approach; the Punzi definition of sensitivity; the relationship between pp-values and likelihood ratios; and the probability of observing misleading evidence. They also help illustrate the Law of the Iterated Logarithm and the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1408.6123,
  title  = {Testing Hypotheses in Particle Physics: Plots of $p_{0}$ Versus $p_{1}$},
  author = {Luc Demortier and Louis Lyons},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1408.6123},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

46 pages, 19 figures