We describe results from the fifth stage of a project to build a statistical model of tropical cyclone tracks. The previous stages considered genesis and the shape of tracks. We now consider in more detail how to represent the lysis (death) of tropical cyclones. Improving the lysis model turns out to bring a significant improvement to the track model overall.
Cite
@article{arxiv.physics/0512091,
title = {Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: modelling cyclone lysis},
author = {Tim Hall and Stephen Jewson},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0512091},
year = {2007}
}