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Statistical inference for Linear Stochastic Approximation with Markovian Noise

Machine Learning 2025-05-27 v1 Machine Learning Optimization and Control Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper we derive non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds for Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates of the Linear Stochastic Approximation (LSA) algorithm driven by the Markovian noise. Our analysis yields O(n1/4)\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/4}) convergence rates to the Gaussian limit in the Kolmogorov distance. We further establish the non-asymptotic validity of a multiplier block bootstrap procedure for constructing the confidence intervals, guaranteeing consistent inference under Markovian sampling. Our work provides the first non-asymptotic guarantees on the rate of convergence of bootstrap-based confidence intervals for stochastic approximation with Markov noise. Moreover, we recover the classical rate of order O(n1/8)\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/8}) up to logarithmic factors for estimating the asymptotic variance of the iterates of the LSA algorithm.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.19102,
  title  = {Statistical inference for Linear Stochastic Approximation with Markovian Noise},
  author = {Sergey Samsonov and Marina Sheshukova and Eric Moulines and Alexey Naumov},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.19102},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T02:37:08.506Z