Sharp invertibility of random Bernoulli matrices

Let $p \in (0,1/2)$ be fixed, and let $B_n(p)$ be an $n\times n$ random matrix with i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with mean $p$. We show that for all $t \ge 0$, $$\mathbb{P}[s_n(B_n(p)) \le tn^{-1/2}] \le C_p t + 2n(1-p)^{n} + C_p (1-p-\epsilon_p)^{n},$$ where $s_n(B_n(p))$ denotes the least singular value of $B_n(p)$ and $C_p, \epsilon_p > 0$ are constants depending only on $p$. In particular, $$\mathbb{P}[B_{n}(p) \text{ is singular}] = 2n(1-p)^{n} + C_{p}(1-p-\epsilon_p)^{n},$$ which confirms a conjecture of Litvak and Tikhomirov. We also confirm a conjecture of Nguyen by showing that if $Q_{n}$ is an $n\times n$ random matrix with independent rows that are uniformly distributed on the central slice of $\{0,1\}^{n}$, then $$\mathbb{P}[Q_{n} \text{ is singular}] = (1/2 + o_n(1))^{n}.$$ This provides, for the first time, a sharp determination of the logarithm of the probability of singularity in any natural model of random discrete matrices with dependent entries.