English

Risk-Limiting Bayesian Polling Audits for Two Candidate Elections

Cryptography and Security 2019-08-06 v2

Abstract

We propose a simple common framework for Risk-Limiting and Bayesian (polling) audits for two-candidate plurality elections. Using it, we derive an expression for the general Bayesian audit; in particular, we do not restrict the prior to a beta distribution. We observe that the decision rule for the Bayesian audit is a simple comparison test, which enables the use of pre-computation---without simulations---and greatly increases the computational efficiency of the audit. Our main contribution is a general form for an audit that is both Bayesian and risk-limiting: the {\em Bayesian Risk-Limiting Audit}, which enables the use of a Bayesian approach to explore more efficient Risk-Limiting Audits.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1902.00999,
  title  = {Risk-Limiting Bayesian Polling Audits for Two Candidate Elections},
  author = {Poorvi L. Vora},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1902.00999},
  year   = {2019}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T07:30:57.924Z