English

Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community

Populations and Evolution 2020-08-26 v2 Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases Physics and Society

Abstract

We present numerical results obtained from the modelling of a stochastic, highly connected and mobile community. The spread of attributes like health, disease among the community members is simulated using cellular automata on a planar 2 dimensional bounded space. With remarkably few assumptions, we are able to predict the future course of propagation of such disease as a function of time and the fine-tuning of parameters related to the interaction among the automata.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.09348,
  title  = {Predictive modelling of disease propagation in a mobile, connected community},
  author = {Ishant Tiwari and Pradeep Sarin and Punit Parmananda},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.09348},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

Updated with full model calculations. Submited to PRL