English

Analytical and cellular automaton approach to a generalized SEIR model for infection spread in an open crowded space

Physics and Society 2020-12-18 v2 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

We formulate a generalized susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model on a graph, describing the population dynamics of an open crowded place with an arbitrary topology. As a sample calculation, we discuss three simple cases, both analytically, and numerically, by means of a cellular automata simulation of the individual dynamics in the system. As a result, we provide the infection ratio in the system as a function of controllable parameters, which allows for quantifying how acting on the human behavior may effectively lower the disease spread throughout the system.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2006.03157,
  title  = {Analytical and cellular automaton approach to a generalized SEIR model for infection spread in an open crowded space},
  author = {Andrea Nava and Alessandro Papa and Marco Rossi and Domenico Giuliano},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2006.03157},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

14 pages, 9 figures