On the abrupt change of the maximum likelihood state in a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation system
Dynamical Systems
2021-03-17 v1
Abstract
The maximum likelihood state for a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation model is investigated. It is shown that a jump occurs for the maximum likelihood state during transitions between two metastable states. The jump helps to explain the mechanism of the abrupt change in the climate systems as revealed by various climate records.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2012.02963,
title = {On the abrupt change of the maximum likelihood state in a simplified stochastic thermohaline circulation system},
author = {Fang Yang and Xu Sun and Jinqiao Duan},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.02963},
year = {2021}
}