English

Multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average processes on cones

Probability 2023-06-19 v2

Abstract

In this article we study multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (MCARMA) processes with values in convex cones. More specifically, we introduce matrix-valued MCARMA processes with L\'evy noise and present necessary and sufficient conditions for processes from this class to be cone valued. We derive specific hands-on conditions in the following two cases: First, for classical MCARMA on Rd\mathbb{R}_{d} with values in the positive orthant Rd+\mathbb{R}_{d}^{+}. Second, for MCARMA processes on real square matrices taking values in the cone of symmetric and positive semi-definite matrices. Both cases are relevant for applications and we give several examples of positivity ensuring parameter specifications. In addition to the above, we discuss the capability of positive semi-definite MCARMA processes to model the spot covariance process in multivariate stochastic volatility models. We justify the relevance of MCARMA based stochastic volatility models by an exemplary analysis of the second order structure of positive semi-definite well-balanced Ornstein-Uhlenbeck based models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2206.08782,
  title  = {Multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average processes on cones},
  author = {Fred Espen Benth and Sven Karbach},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.08782},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

37 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-24T11:55:07.341Z