English

Measure-Valued CARMA Processes

Probability 2025-05-15 v1 Mathematical Finance

Abstract

In this paper, we examine continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) processes on Banach spaces driven by L\'evy subordinators. We show their existence and cone-invariance, investigate their first and second order moment structure, and derive explicit conditions for their stationarity. Specifically, we define a measure-valued CARMA process as the analytically weak solution of a linear state-space model in the Banach space of finite signed measures. By selecting suitable input, transition, and output operators in the linear state-space model, we show that the resulting solution possesses CARMA dynamics and remains in the cone of positive measures defined on some spatial domain. We also illustrate how positive measure-valued CARMA processes can be used to model the dynamics of functionals of spatio-temporal random fields and connect our framework to existing CARMA-type models from the literature, highlighting its flexibility and broader applicability.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.08852,
  title  = {Measure-Valued CARMA Processes},
  author = {Fred Espen Benth and Sven Karbach and Asma Khedher},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.08852},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T23:32:03.213Z