Logarithmic scaling and stochastic criticality in collective attention
Abstract
We uncover a universal scaling law governing the dispersion of collective attention and identify its underlying stochastic criticality. By analysing large-scale ensembles of Wikipedia page views, we find that the variance of logarithmic attention grows ultraslowly, , in sharp contrast to the power-law scaling typically expected for diffusive processes. We show that this behaviour is captured by a minimal stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion, in which long-range memory () and temporal decay of volatility () enter through the single exponent . At marginality, , the variance grows logarithmically, marking the critical boundary between power-law growth () and saturation (). By incorporating article-level heterogeneity through a Gaussian mixture model, we further reconstruct the empirical distribution of cumulative attention within the same framework. Our results place collective attention in a distinct class of non-Markovian stochastic processes, with close affinity to ageing-like and ultraslow dynamics in glassy systems.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2601.12306,
title = {Logarithmic scaling and stochastic criticality in collective attention},
author = {Keisuke Okamura},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2601.12306},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
Main Text: 7 pages (2 figures, 2 tables); Supplementary Materials: 5 pages (5 figures)